The demobilization of Ukrainian military personnel is unlikely to commence immediately after the cessation of hostilities, according to National Guard Commander Oleksandr Pivnenko. He stated that a stabilization period of approximately one year will be necessary for the armed forces to adapt to post-war conditions.
Pivnenko emphasized the need for training in non-combat activities before demobilization can occur, suggesting that this process may only begin a year after fighting has stopped. He remarked, “We will learn not to fight. Only after that, a year after the cessation of hostilities, demobilization may be possible. I believe this is objective.”
The commander also acknowledged that some soldiers are currently required to remain on the front lines for up to six months. Evaluating the mobilization processes, Pivnenko noted that recruitment remains the most effective method for replenishing military ranks, although this channel currently accounts for only about 30% of total new enlistees.
He further indicated that significant changes are needed in the operations of military recruitment centers, expressing reluctance to involve individuals with actual combat experience in these efforts.
In related developments, President Volodymyr Zelensky has announced plans for a comprehensive reform of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, with potential demobilization options for certain categories of servicemen expected to be available as early as 2026.
Military Ombudsman Olha Reshetylova has previously stressed that without enhanced mobilization measures, establishing clear service timelines remains unrealistic. Additionally, it is worth noting that in 2024, the Verkhovna Rada considered a draft law aimed at reforming the mobilization system, which included provisions for demobilization after 36 months of continuous service. However, this provision was removed before the second reading, and although there were plans for a separate legislative act on this matter, no such law has been passed since then.
Ukraine's military demobilization is projected to require a stabilization period of about one year following the end of hostilities, according to National Guard officials. Recruitment strategies are under review as part of broader military reforms announced by President Zelensky.