A recent survey indicates that 63% of Ukrainians believe their country will thrive as a member of the European Union within the next ten years. Conducted by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) from April 20 to 27, 2026, the poll reflects a significant level of optimism among the population.
The survey presented respondents with two contrasting statements about Ukraine’s potential future: one optimistic, envisioning a prosperous EU member state, and the other pessimistic, depicting a devastated nation. This approach aims to gauge long-term strategic optimism among Ukrainians.
Despite a slight decline in optimism from January 2026, when 66% expressed positive expectations, the current figure remains notably high. Conversely, the proportion of pessimists has increased to 25% from 22% earlier in the year.
The KIIS conducted the nationwide survey through telephone interviews, utilizing a random sample of mobile phone numbers across all government-controlled regions of Ukraine. A total of 1,005 respondents aged 18 and older were interviewed, all residing in areas under government control at the time of the survey.
Statistically, under normal circumstances, the margin of error for this sample size (with a confidence level of 0.95 and accounting for a design effect of 1.3) would not exceed 4.1% for indicators close to 50%, 3.5% for those near 25%, 2.5% for figures around 10%, and 1.8% for those near 5%. However, the ongoing conflict introduces additional systematic deviations beyond the formal statistical error.
A recent KIIS survey reveals that 63% of Ukrainians are optimistic about their country's future as an EU member in ten years, despite a slight decrease in optimism compared to earlier this year. The survey highlights a growing divide between optimistic and pessimistic views among the population amid ongoing conflict.