ISW: The capture of Velika Novosilka may indicate the future plans of the Russian Federation

The capture of the Great Novosilka will probably enable Russia to decide whether units should be relocated to other operational areas. In turn, any redeployment will indicate where the enemy will occur in the spring and summer. About the report in the American Institute for War Study (ISW), reports UNN.

Details

ISW analysts noted that the Russian troops made further promotion within the Great Novosilka against the background of official Russian statements that on January 26, the invaders seized the entire settlement.

Geolocation footage, published on January 26, indicates that Russian troops advance

It is noted that some Russian sources, including the Ministry of Defense of Russia, claimed January 26 that the Russian troops had completely captured the Greater Novosilka, while other Russian sources claimed that Russian troops seized most of the settlement.

Some Russian bloggers claimed that Russian troops are still clearing the village from the Ukrainian forces, including the northern part, and that the Ukrainian forces are still counterattachak in the area.

However, according to geolocation, ISW believes that Russian troops occupy 89 percent of the village

According to analysts of the American Institute for Studying War, the Ministry of Defense of Russia pays abnormally much attention to the capture of the Great Novosilka by Russian troops, which is most likely part of information efforts aimed at forming an idea of ​​the situation on the battlefield in Ukraine and weakening international support for Ukraine.

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Experts say that Russian successes in the West of Donetsk region continue to be gradual and much lower than the pace that are normal for the modern mechanized war.

In addition, the report remains unclear whether Russian troops will be able to advance further by the Great Novosilka, because it is unclear how much combat capacity is still retained by elements of the Eastern military district of the Russian army after several months of continuous offensive operations.

The large Novosilka is located near several rivers, which will probably complicate and interfere with the further tactical promotion of Russian troops in the area. Russian troops had problems with rivers crossing … which will probably complicate the ability of Russian troops to use the capture of the Great Novosilka to promptly significant advancement in the western part of Donetsk region

Experts suggest that the capture and cleaning of the Great Novosilka will probably provide the Russian military command of opportunity and will become a point of reference to decide on the relocation of units of the Eastern Military District (its) from the Greater Novosilka area to other priority operational areas.

The Russian military command can decide to leave its parts in the west of the Donetsk region and continue to advance to the administrative border of Donetsk and Dnipropetrovsk regions, which runs north and west of the Great Novosilka.

The situation in the Greater Novosilka is exacerbated: Russians try to surround the settlement24.01.25, 11:11:11 • 34183 Views

According to analysts, such a decision may indicate that the Russian military favors the promotion of the administrative border as soon as possible, not in other areas in Donetsk region or in other frontline areas.

In the consolidation, they add that it remains unclear how capable of units remain after more than six months of intensive operations.

Russian troops are currently activating offensive operations in Kupyansk, Boriv, ​​time-Yars, Toretsky and Pokrovsky directions, and continue to work on the elimination

The Russian military command may also leave some units in the area of ​​the Great Novosilka to continue limited attacks and clamp the Ukrainian forces in the area, but relocate the major part of the military districts to another front.

Key conclusions ISW for January 26:

• The troops of the Russian Federation carried out further promotion within the limits of the Great Novosilka against the background of official Russian statements that on January 26, the invaders seized the entire settlement.
• The Ministry of Defense of Russia pays abnormally a lot of attention to the capture of the Great Novosilka, which is most likely part of information efforts aimed at forming an idea of ​​the situation on the battlefield in Ukraine and the weakening of Ukraine’s international support.
• The capture and clearing of the Great Novosilka will probably enable the Russian military command to decide on the relocation of parts of the Eastern Military District (its) from the Great Novosilka area to other priority operational areas. Any redeployment of its parts from the Greater Novosilka area in the coming weeks will indicate priority operating areas for Russia’s offensive operations in the spring and summer of 2025.
• Russian troops are ready to capture Toretsk in the coming days, and the redeployment of the elements of its own to strengthen the Russian group in the Toretsky direction will testify to Russia’s new priority efforts to restore attacks in the direction of Konstantinovka.
• On the night of January 25 to January 26, Ukrainian troops were repeated at the Ryazan oil refinery.
• Ukrainian troops advanced in the Kursk region and restored positions in Toretsk.
• Russian troops advanced near Borova, Pokrovsk and Kurakhov.
• On January 25, Russian bloggers criticized the Russian government for not paying priority attention to the set and preparation of the next generation of Russian officers.

Recall

Russian troops were recorded in the Greater Novosilka, where they installed a flag on the boiler room behind the Kolos stadium. The enemy is successful in the eastern outskirts and part of the central streets of the settlement.

In the Russian city of Ryazan the oil refinery is affected01/26/25, 00:55 • 82580 Views