“The US is urging Russia to end aggression against Ukraine and agree to a peace agreement. At the same time, the western government circles are believing that Vladimir Putin’s regime is not able to stop the war without serious political consequences within the country.”, – WRITE: www.pravda.com.ua
Source: Bild
Details: The publication notes that despite international pressure, Russia does not demonstrate readiness for compromise. According to Bild, in high -ranking Western government circles believe that the reason is deep internal factors: political, economic and social.
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Literally: “This is due to the fact that Russia has not yet achieved its military goals. The defense industry is swollen by giant investments. Hundreds of thousands of Russians earn well in the war.
Details: According to Russian economists, if you remove from the analysis of the sectors that dominates the military-industrial complex, the economy of the Russian Federation actually goes into the state of recession. The decline is observed in many industries, such as food production, coal, building materials, metal products or mechanical engineering.
“Production is falling! Only the defensive industry is masking the decline,” the newspaper writes.
According to the economist, Oleksandra Prokopenko from the analytical center “Carnegie” for the study of Russia and Eurasia, which by 2022 worked at the Central Bank of Russia, the belief that the termination of the war will automatically lead to the collapse of the defense industry, is exaggerated.
According to experts, a particular threat to Putin’s regime is the war veterans. Many of them, returning from the front, can become a source of social instability, especially in low -living regions and limited economic prospects.
According to the expert “for Putin, working with veterans returning after the war is likely to become a challenge.”
“For Putin, working with veterans who will return after the end of the war will most likely be a challenge,” – said the expert on Russia at the German Institute of International Issues and Security Margaret Klein.
“Those who went to the front of the volunteer often received payments that exceeded the average salary several times. This applies not only to the increased salary, but also to the disposable bonuses for recruitment, which reached more than 40,000 euros,” Klein says.
According to her, if the Kremlin fails to offer these people an economic future, there is a risk of wave of violence.
Direct Klein language: “The number of violent crimes has increased after a full -scale invasion of Russia. There is a real danger that some of the veterans – like those who fought in Afghanistan or Chechnya – will become participants (organized – ed.).”