“The Russian army reduced the number of UAV attacks in December: British intelligence named the reason In December, the Russian Federation launched three times less drones over Ukraine than in November – about 850 against 2,300. British intelligence explains this by weather conditions and predicts further attacks by more than 1,500 UAVs every month.”, — write on: unn.ua
Details
According to the summary, in November, Russia launched about 2,300 unmanned aerial vehicles of various types of unilateral attack on the territory of Ukraine, once again exceeding the figures for the previous month.
It is noted that the monthly number of UAVs is constantly increasing throughout 2024, a significant increase – observed since July 2024 – by more than 200 units compared to the previous month.
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It is likely that in September-November 2024, up to 50-60% of the total number of launches were “false” kamikaze drones. These are smaller and less expensive drones than the Shahed class. They are designed to complicate Ukraine’s defense by saturating or obfuscating the radar picture, forcing Ukrainian air defense teams to work harder, hoping to induce fatigue over time. Some of the decoy systems likely carry a small payload (up to 5 kg) of explosive, which ultimately makes them no less dangerous if they hit their target.
The growth rate from October to November decreased compared to previous months. Data for December 2024 launches indicate that around 850 launches have taken place so far. However, the weather likely affected operations in December, as evidenced by some nights with significantly larger waves after a period of little or no activity
The British Ministry of Defense believes that, in the absence of an impact on launch sites and production, it is likely that Russia will be able to maintain the number of launches, which at least exceeds 1,500 per month. Russian UAVs provide coverage of targets throughout the territory of Ukraine, which allows Russia to maintain pressure and replenish stocks of long-range air missiles.
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