November 26, 2024
The advance of Russian forces in western Donetsk does not mean the collapse of the Ukrainian front - ISW thumbnail
UKRAINIAN NEWS

The advance of Russian forces in western Donetsk does not mean the collapse of the Ukrainian front – ISW

The southern and eastern groupings of the Russian army are acting in a coordinated manner – assaults northeast of Vugledar are coordinated with similar mechanized assaults near Velika Novosilka”, — write: www.radiosvoboda.org

Russian troops are achieving tactical success in the west of Donetsk region, approaching the encirclement of Velika Novosilka and creating threats to Ukrainian supply lines leading to Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia regions, but for now this does not mean the “automatic collapse of the Ukrainian front”, analysts of the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) note ) in his report on November 26.

“The Russian advance in the west of the Donetsk region could become operationally significant if the Russian command properly uses these recent tactical successes,” the experts write.

They indicate that the southern and eastern groups of the Russian army are acting in a coordinated manner – the assaults northeast of Vugledar are consistent with similar mechanized assaults near Velika Novosilka.

“Even if Russian forces are able to achieve their operational objectives, Russian forces will need to capture more than 8,000 square kilometers of territory to achieve Moscow’s self-imposed goal of capturing all of Donetsk Oblast. A potential Russian advance into southeastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, given the historical record of Russian offensive actions, is unlikely to be immediately rapid or threaten major Ukrainian military facilities or major cities in the 2024–2025 winter campaign season. The Ukrainian theater (of hostilities) is large, and Russian tactical successes in the western part of the Donetsk region should not cause unnecessary panic in the short term. Russian gains remain tactical, and Russian forces have yet to resume operational maneuver on the battlefield. Current Russian offensives may fail to achieve their operational objectives, as did initial Russian frontal offensives on Chasiv Yar and Pokrovsk earlier in 2024,” the ISW said.

During Monday, November 25, 185 combat clashes between the Defense Forces of Ukraine and the Russian military took place at the front, the Pokrovsky and Kurakhiv directions remain the “hottest”, according to the operational summary of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

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