October 7, 2025
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Onwards and Upwards for Bitcoin as Move Melts Down; Dollar and Bonds Signal Caution to Risk Assets

Traditional Markets Offer Mixed Signals as BTC Holds Key Trendline Support.”, – WRITE: www.coindesk.com

Onwards and Upwards for Bitcoin as Move Melts Down; Dollar and Bonds Signal Caution to Risk AssetsTraditional Markets Offer Mixed Signals as BTC Holds Key Trendline Support. Oct 7, 2025, 12:44 PM

This is an Analysis Post by Coindesk Analyst and Charted Market Technician Omkar Godbole.

There’s Very Little Reason to Doubt Bitcoin’s BTC$ 124.629.67 Upward Tradery Right Now. Althugh The Rally Has Paused Over The Last 24 Hours, The Steep, Near-90-Degree Uptrend Line from Lows Just Just Under $ 110,000 is Still Holding Strong. In Fact, prices tested that Trendline Early Today and Bounced Right Back, as Shown in the Hourly Candlestick Chart Below.

Analysts Suggest that Those who missed the initial raly caniser using Call Spreads to Capture Further Gains in a More Risk-Efficient Way.

What Next?A Clean Breakout Above the Expanding Trilele’s Upper Boundary on the Daily Chart Could Clear the Path Toward the $ 135,000 to $ 140,000 Range. The Upper Boundary Acted As Resistance On Monday.

On the Other Hand, if BTC Falls Bell of the Hourly Chart’s Ascending Trendline, We Could See a Corrective Phase, with The FIRST SUPPORT LEVEL AROUND $ 118,000.

BTC's Price Charts in Candlestick Format. (Coindesk/TradingView)BTC’s Hourly and Daily Charts. (Coindesk/TradingView)

WHAT DO Traditional Markets Say?Looking Beyond BTC, Traditional Markets Paint A Picture Whore Both Bullish and Corrective Scenarios Appear Possible.

Bulls Can Take Comfort From The Move Index, Which Measures Expectioned Volatility in Treasury Notes, Continues to Fall. The Index Dipped Below 70 On Monday, Its Lowest Since December 2021, Signaling Easier Financial Conditions for Risk Assets.

Move's Daily Chart. (TradingView/Coindesk)Move’s Daily Chart. (TradingView/Coindesk)

However, The Dollar Index (Dxy) and Treasury Yields Remain Resilient Despite The September Rate Cut and Expectations of More EASING AHEAD.

The dxy is flirting with a bullish Double Bottom Pattern, While the 10-Year Treasury Yield Has Risen 16 Basis Points to 4.16% Since the Fed Cut Rates by 25 Basis Points on Sept. 17. In Other Words, The YELD HAS AT LEAST PARTALLY UNDONE The RATE CUT.

Adding to the Mix, Goldman Sachs Warned that Japan’s Bond Market Shocks, Driven by the New Prime Minister’s Bias for Abenomics, Could Spill Overo Into US Treasuries UNCERTAINTY INTO the Picture.

Dollar Index and US 10-YEAR Treasury Yield. (Coindesk/TradingView)Dollar Index and US 10-YEAR Treasury Yield. (Coindesk/TradingView)

Traders Should Keep A Close Eye on the Session Indicators, As Continued Strength in the Dollar and YIELDS COURKLD Disrupt Crypto’s Rally.

Eth: Bull Flag BreakoutEther Eth$ 4,706.57 have risen 4% to form a bull flag breakout on the weekly chart. A Bull Flag Is A Counter-Trend Consolidation Pattern that Typically Signals A Continuation of the Preceding Upward Move. Think of the Flag As A Pause WHERE TRIED BULLS REGROUP AND GATHER STREEGTH FOR The NEXT LEG UP.

Perhaps, A Strong Rally Above $ 5,000 Could Be On The Horizon. That said, if we see a sell-off from here leading to losses by weeks, it would be a Clear Signal That Bears Are Taking Control.

Eth's Weekly Chart in Candlesticks Format. (Coindesk/TradingView)Eth’s Weekly Chart. (Coindesk/TradingView)

AI Disclaimer: Parts of this Article Were Genered with The Assistance from AI Tools and Review by Our Editory Team to Enseure Accucy and Adhesion To Our Standards. For more information, See Coindesk’s Full Ai Policy.

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