Jessica Pegula as Jasmine Paolini. Prediction and announcement for the WTA Finals 2025 match

On November 6, Jessica Pegula (WTA 5) and Jasmine Paolini (WTA 8) will meet in the third round of the group round at the Final Tournament in Riyadh.

The match is scheduled to start at 16:30 Kyiv time.

Sport.ua together with betting announces the upcoming match!

Jessica Pegula

The final tournament is not bad for the American, in the first match she was able to beat compatriot Coco Goff in a difficult fight – 6:3, 6:7, 6:2. It was possible to impose a struggle on the leader of the world ranking Arina Sobolenko in the second match, but here there was a defeat – 4:6, 6:2, 3:6.

Pegula is currently second in the group, ahead of Goff only in additional metrics. If Jessica wins the upcoming match, and Koko defeats Sobolenko, then everything will be determined by additional indicators. The American can be considered one of the shadow favorites, because she is capable of beating any opponent.

Jasmine Paolini

The final tournament was a failure for the Italian athlete, she lost both matches of the group stage, losing even the theoretical chances of reaching the semi-finals. In the first match, Paolini lost without much resistance to the neutral Sobolenko – 3:6, 1:6, she managed to take just one more game from Coco Goff – 3:6, 2:6.

The athlete also played in the final tournament in doubles, where she won one victory and lost twice in a team with compatriot Sarah Errani, which prevented her from leaving the group. Given the accumulated fatigue and lack of motivation, the chances of success seem low.

Personal meetings

As statistics show, in head-to-head confrontations, the American woman has a clear advantage – 5:1. Paolini’s only victory was just a month and a half ago, at the Billie Jean King Cup, although not everyone is playing at full strength here.

Forecast

Pegula is the favorite in this match, everything is logical here, because the Americans must win to advance to the semifinals, but the Italian lost even the theoretical chances of leaving the group.

A situation may arise when additional indicators, the difference of sets, will be counted, so Jessica will try to win in two games, and I will bet on this at 1.8.