March 4, 2025
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Ukraine News Today

ISW: Russia is increasing the number and efficiency of drones and missiles for breakage of Ukrainian air defense

Specialists of the Institute of War, after analyzing the collected data, indicate that the Russian army increases the number and increases the efficiency of drones and missiles to suppress Ukrainian air defense.”, – WRITE: www.pravda.com.ua

illustrative photo of air forces

Specialists of the Institute of War, after analyzing the collected data, indicate that the Russian army increases the number and increases the efficiency of drones and missiles to suppress Ukrainian air defense.

Source: Isw

Literally From the report: “Russian troops continue to improve their shock complexes and use more Shahaned drones and baits, trying to break through the Ukrainian air defense system.”

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Details: Deputy Chief of the Main Directorate of Intelligence Major General Vadim Skibitsky stated that Russian forces were launching missiles from several different directions, as well as from 150 to 200 drones during a single night series.

Skibitsky noted that earlier the Russian forces launched rockets from one direction and used an average of 20 to 30 drones during a single night series.

Major-General reported that Russian troops were launching missiles and drones in order to overload Ukrainian air defense systems.

Skibitsky added that the Russian forces are starting to launch drones in the evening, so that the drones reach Ukraine around 23:00, and that the strikes last until the morning.

Literally: “According to ISW, Russian troops began to launch from 80 to 100 (or more) Shakhmed drones and bait drones in the framework of large shock bags in October and November 2024, and in February 2025-from 100 to 200 (or more), Shahaped drones and drones.

Most likely, Russian troops use a large number of Shahaned drones and bait drones to identify and suppress Ukrainian air defense and mobile fire groups. ”

Details: Experts say that an increase in the number of drones in nighttime Russian attacks indicates that Russia is likely not to face internal restrictions in Shakhaned or bait, as well as restrictions on Iranian components for the production of Shahaneda.

However, they add in the review, it remains unclear whether Russia will be able to produce or get enough components to avoid restrictions in the production of drones in the long run.

Also, according to the ISW analyzed, Russian missile production has not increased significantly, but Russian troops seem to prioritize the production of missiles and drones that are more effective against Ukrainian air defense.

Skibitsky stated that Russia has slightly increased the production of missiles 1.2-1.5 times during 2024 and “redistributes” its production facilities.

Literally: “ISW has previously evaluated that Russia is likely to continue to increase the production and use of Shahaned drones and other options after signing the Russian-Iranian Treaty on a comprehensive strategic partnership in January 2025.”

Key conclusions ISW for March 3:

  • According to Ukrainian military intelligence, there are about 620,000 Russian soldiers in Ukraine and Kursk region, which is about 40,000 more than at the end of 2024.
  • According to reports, the Russian authorities exceeded their quotas on a call in 2024 and January 2025, probably, partly due to an increase in financial incentives for recruits and prisoning efforts that are non-viable in the medium and long term.
  • Russian troops continue to improve their shock complexes and use more Shahaned drones and drones, trying to break through the Ukrainian air defense system.
  • According to reports, the production of Russian missiles has not increased, but Russian troops seem to be priority to the production of missiles and drones that are more effective against Ukrainian air defense.
  • Ukrainian troops advanced near Pokrovsk, and Russian troops under the Great Novosilka and in the Kursk region.
  • The Kremlin continues to promote its veteran program “Heroes Time” as part of the efforts to militarize Russian power and society.

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