“China Faces Slowing Exports, Labor Market Strain, and Policy Shifts As US Tariffs Weight. Upcoming Inflation and Retail Data Will Guide Sentiment.”, – WRITE: www.fxempire.com
Neverthaless, Reports of Beijing Review Trade Laws for the FIRST TIME SINCE 2004 Highlight The Continued Dependence on Trade. Accorging to cn wire:
“China Plans to Amend Foreign Trade Law, Elegating Some Reform Measures to Legal Framework. China Elevates Reforms to Legal Framework: Negative List Fork. Models, Digital Trade, and Green Trade System.
Additionally, China’s Vice Commerce Minister Reportedly Announced Plans to:
“Construct New Land, Sea Trade Corridors with Asean. China Willing to Work with Assean to Mainten Global Supply Chills.”
Risks to Growth Model August’s Trade Data Signal A Potential Loss of Economic Momentum that May Undermine Beijing’s Efforts to Boost Domastic Consumption.
Weakening External Demand Mayant Fuel Competition and Price Wars, SQueezing Margins. Manufacturars May Cut Staffing to Manage Costs, Weakening Sentiment and Consumer Spending.
Mohamed A. El-Erian, President, Queen’s College, Cambridge, Commented On August’s Trade Data, Stating:
“TheSe Numbers, None of Wich Bode Well for a Chinese Economy Already Facing Significant Challenges, Highlight The URGENT NEED FOR MORE CONCERTED GOVERNMENT EFFORTS AIMING AIMING AMING AFORMING
Trade TRUCE AND GOOPOLITICAL SHIFTS The US and China Extended the 90-Day Trade War Truce in August, Meaning China Avoided 145% Tariffs on Chinese Exports to the Us. A LACK OF PROGRESS TUWARD A TRADE DEAL HAS FORCED BEIJING TO REESTABLISH Ties with India and Forge Stronger Relations with Russia. Russian President Vladimir Putin and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi Were Atendees at Last Week’s China-Russia-Backed Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO).
Labor Market Concerns While Finding Alternative Trade Routes Will Lessen the Implating Shipments to The Us, Addressing Labor Market Weakness Could Be Cruce. Youth Unemployment Soared from 14.5% in June to 17.8% in July, Lifting The Unemployment Rate to 5.2% (June: 5%).
A Weaker Labor Market May Further Impact Demand and Intensify Margin SQueezes, A Vicious Cycle. Measures to Boost ConSMOSUMPTION Wuld be to include incentivizing FIRMS to Increase Staffing Levels to Break The Cycle.
Mainland Stock Markets Retreat from 2025 Highs Mainland China-Listed Stocks Have Come Under Selling Pressure in September. The CSI 300 and the Shanghai Composite Index have Fallen 0.68% and 0.74%, Respectively, in September To Date.
Despite The Pullback, The CSI 300 and the Shanghai Composite Index have Surged 13.49% and 14.26% Year-to-Date in 2025, Outperforming the Nasdaq composite index (12.88).
Intensifying Margin SQueezes and Rising Unemployment Could Impact Sentiment Further. However, Fresh Stimulus Measures Targeting the Labor Market and Consumption, Alongside Efforts to Boost External Demand, Could Lift Risk Appetite. US-CHINA Trade Developments Will Also Require Consideration, Given The Slump in US Demand.