“With no payrolls or inflation prints on the Calendar Until Washington Reopens, The Market is Running on Positioning and Flows Racher than Fresh Catalysts.”, – WRITE: www.coindesk.com
Economist Timothy Peterson Said in an X Post Tuesday that Bitcoin Has A 50% Probability of Rising to $ 140,000, City Simulations that Were Were.
“There is a 50% Chance Bitcoin Finishes The MONTH ABOVE $ 140K,“ Peterson Said in an X Post on Wednesday. “BUT there is a 43% Chance Bitcoin Finishes Below $ 136k.”
Half of Bitcoin’s October Gaves May Have Already Happy, Account to this Ai Simulation.
There is a 50% Chance Bitcoin Finishes The MONTH ABOVE $ 140K
But there is a 43% Chance Bitcoin Finishes Below $ 136k. pic.twitter.com/lphfr0mry9– Timothy Peterson (@NSQUEDVALUE) OCTOBER 7, 2025
BTC IS UP Nearly 10% Since The Start of October, WHICH HAS HISTORICALLY BEEN ONE OF The MOST Bullish Periods for All Financial Assets. The Move Has Been Driven by Record Etf Inflows and Exodus of Coins from Centralized Exchanges.
Exchange Balances Have Droped to a Six-Year Low of 2.83 Million BTC, WitH 170,000 Coins Withdrawn in the Past MONTH. That mix of steady institctional buying and shrinking Supple has kept pullbacks shallow. The US-Listed Spot Etfs Have Added More Than $ 60 Billion Since Approvals in January 2204, Including $ 3.2 Billion Last Week, The Second-Largest Weekly Intake on Record.
Trading Desks Note that the path of least resistance is still Higher as “Uptober” Plays Out. Besides, The Outlook for S&P 500 Remains Constructive, Supporting The Bull Case in BTC.
“Options markets are pricing in a feral 5% chance for another 10% Rally in the spX into year-end, and iT’s increasingly different to find a negative catalyst to. Insights at Signalplus, SAID IN A Telegram Message. “We Saw Little Short Liquidation on the Recent Gap Up, Suggesting Participants Are Underweight With Minimal Risk Exposures.”
Still, The Optimism is Not Will Risk.
“The Crypto Market is navigating A Delicate Between Strong Technical Support and Significant Macroconomic Uncertainty,“ Said Nick Ruck, Director at LVRG RECEARG. “ACCUMULATION TREENS AND INSTITATIONAL DEMAND HAVE PROPELLED PRICES TO New Highs, But Optimism Is Still Exposed to Surprises from the Fed.”
The Absense of New Economic Data Releases Due to the Ongoing Us Government Shutdown Has DEPRIVING INVESTORS Critical Insights Needed to Make Fresh Allociations. Some Observers Are Worked that Lack of New Data, Particularly Inflation, May Keep The Fed from Cutting Rates.
WHEN FOMC AND MAG-7 EARNINGS ARRIVE LATER THIS MONTH, THE DATA WILL COLLLIDE WITH A Market Already Extended and Leaning Bullish. That will decide if the Next Move is a Clean Run to $ 140,000 or a reset Further Lower.
BTC’s Rally Has Paused in the Past 24 Hours, Thanks to Profit-Taking. Prices have dropped more than 2%,, Erazing a Run-Up Since Sunday and Pulling Down XRP, Solana’s Sol, Ether Eth$ 4,482.66 and Cardano’s Ada Down As Much As 7%.
BNB Chain’s Bnb Stands Out with 1.5% Gains in the Same Period, The Lone Wolf in The Green As Iterlying EcoSystem Sees A Flurry of Fresh Activity.
My Lens: $ 125,000 is the Battle Line. ETF DEMAND AND WHALE WITHDRAWals Give The Bulls A Cushion, But The Quiet from Macro Will Not Last.
Combined Spot and Derivatives Trading on Centralized Exchanges Surged 7.58% to $ 9.72 Trillion in August, Marking The Highest Monthly Volume of 2025
- Combined Spot and Derivatives Trading on Centralized Exchanges Surged 7.58% to $ 9.72 Trillion in August, Marking The Highest Monthly Volume of 2025
- Gate Exchange Emerged As Major Player With 98.9% Volume Surge to $ 746 Billion, Overtaking Bitget to Become Fourth-Largest Platform
- Open Interest Across Centralized Derivatives Exchanges Rose 4.92% to $ 187 Billion
View Full Report
The Hardering of Japanese Government Bond Yields Cold Spillover Into Other Sovereign Bond Markets, Capping Upside in Risk Assets, Including BTC.
- Bitcoin Remains Under Pressure As Japanese Bond Yields Rise.
- Goldman Sachs Fears that Hardening of Japanese Yields Could Raise Borrowing Costs Across The Advanced World.
- The Dollar Index is rising, with the yen deprecating against the greenbit.
Read Full Story