“Artthur Hayes Argues that Bitcoin’s Traditional Four Market Cycle Has Ended, As Current Shifts in Global Monetary Policy Indicate Expanding Fiat Liquingity.”, – WRITE: www.coindesk.com
In an essay Titled “Long Live The King!” Published Thursday, Artthur Hayes Argued that the Primary Catalyst Behind Previous Bitcoin Bear Markets in 2014, 2018, and 2022 Was Monetary Tightling in Major Economies, Not The Four. On Each of Tese Occasions, Bitcoin’s Price Plunged by 70% to 80% from ITS Bull Market Peak.
Coindesk Made A Similar Point in 2023, Explaing that Btc’s Four-Year Bull-Bear Cycle Centred AROUND MIND MIND HALVINGS IS ACTUALLY TIED TO FLIQPLATION Halving Events Alone.
“As the Four-Year Anniversary of this Fourth Cycle Is Upon US, Traders Wish to Apply The Historical Pattern and Forecast An End to this Bull Run,” Hayes Wrote, Explaining that The Four Fiat Liquidity Deluge Will Keep The Bull Market Going.
The Halving CycleHalving Refers to the Programmed Reduction in the Per-BLOCK BTC EMISSION Every Four Years.
SINCE ITS INCICATION IN 2009, BTC HAS HAS TYPICALLY FOLLOWED A RUGHLY Four-Year Cycle, Characterized by A Bull Run Leading Up To and Following The Quadrennniel Reward, Following, Following, Follower Halving, Follower Hallowing. Begins 16 to 18 Months After The Halning Event.
The MOST RECENT, FOROURTHCOIN HALVING OCCURRED IN April 2024. Hence, Some Market Participants May Be Conc The Btc’s Uptrend Will Soon Peak, Potenilly Powing The Way.
This Time Is DifferentThe Ongoing Bull Market is Likely to Continue, Invalidating The Four-Year Cycle Because Monetary Conditions Are Expectioned to Remain Accor Contract.
The US Government and ITS CENTRAL BANK ALREADY IN AN EASING MODE AND JAPAN COULD Soon Join The Fray as the New Pm is a Big Believer in the Ultra-Stimulatory Abenomics Strategy.
“In the US, Newly Electrated President Trump Wants to Run the Economy Hot. He Routinely Speaks About America Growing in Order To Reduce Its Debt Load,” Hayes Noted. “Trump Also Speaks About Lowering The Cost of Housing to Release Trillions of Dollars of Trapped Home Equity Because of The RAPID RISE IN HOUSING PRICES POST-2008.”
The Federal Reserve Cut Interest Rates by 25 Basis Points to AUND 4% IN SEPTEMBER 2025 AND IS EXPECTED TO IMPLEMENT FURTHER REDUCATIONS TOTING UP TO 100 BASIS POINTS Over. Monetary Stance.
Lastly, Hayes Noted that AlhoUGH CHINA MAY NOT BE AS STIMULATORY AS IN PREVIUS BITCOIN BULLS BULLS, BEIJING’S FOCUS ON ENNING DEFLIATION SUGGEES gains for btc.
“Listen to the Monetary Monetary Monetary Monetary Monetary Monetary in Washington And Beijing. They Clearly State The Money Shaper and More Plentify, Thereic, Therere, Therere, Therere, Therere, Bitcoin Cheer, Bitcoin Cheet, Bitcoin Connet Connet, -Bitcoin CheTheis, TheThein, TheTe, TheTe, the Clearly, Bitcoin Plentify. The Clearly. The Thichen. The Rise -Riseful. The. Highly Probable Future. ”
Combined Spot and Derivatives Trading on Centralized Exchanges Surged 7.58% to $ 9.72 Trillion in August, Marking The Highest Monthly Volume of 2025
- Combined Spot and Derivatives Trading on Centralized Exchanges Surged 7.58% to $ 9.72 Trillion in August, Marking The Highest Monthly Volume of 2025
- Gate Exchange Emerged As Major Player With 98.9% Volume Surge to $ 746 Billion, Overtaking Bitget to Become Fourth-Largest Platform
- Open Interest Across Centralized Derivatives Exchanges Rose 4.92% to $ 187 Billion
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A Fresh Suppply Zone forMed at $ 2.92– $ 2.93, While the $ 2.85 Floor is Now Under Scrutiny as Macro Headwinds Weight on Flows.
- Xrp Spiked Above $ 2.90 Before Profit-Taking Reversed Gains, Closing At $ 2.85.
- A New Supple Zone formed at $ 2.92– $ 2.93, with $ 2.85 Now Under Scrutiny as A Potential Floor.
- Traders Are Watching Macroconomic Factors and Regulatory Developments for Future Price Movement.
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