“According to the intelligence of the Western countries, the ruler of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin could change his more short -term goals in the war against Ukraine, focusing on already captured territories and resolving economic issues.”, – WRITE: www.pravda.com.ua
Source: CNN with reference to sources
Details: As CNN has been distributed to the issues of unnamed sources, new reconnaissance data, which were familiar with the officials of the United States and the West, indicate that Putin may have shifted his direct focus in the war against Ukraine for more short -term goals – strengthening his power in the territory of the RF.
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“This testifies to the evolution compared to recent estimates of American and Western intelligence, which suggested that Putin believes that the state of war is profitable for him, that he has an impulse, as well as human resources in order to lead a longer struggle against Ukraine, and to capture the whole country.”
Two American sources, familiar with this issue, noted that the perception that Putin may have changed his thinking, has played in the hand of US President Donald Trump and his negotiators, who believe that the Russian ruler may be more prepared to consider a potential peaceful agreement than in the past.
However, the US high -ranking officials remain skeptical of Putin and his repeated statements that he wants a peace agreement, even despite the “generous” proposal of the United States on Ukrainian territories.
The publication also states that there is a widespread opinion that even if Russia agrees to the proposed agreement, it can try to restore the war and try to seize most of Ukraine in the long run.
“I think he may think – I do not want to say that he thinks less – but thinks about what a reasonable short -term goal is,” CNN said a high -ranking representative of Western intelligence.
Pressure from Trump’s more angry administration, which is threatening with new sanctions, as well as the weakness of the Russian economy put Putin in a potentially difficult situation, writes CNN.
At the same time, during the negotiations, there was a strong emphasis on the potential of investment between the United States and Russia, if the war is over – the opportunities that the United States called “historical”.
“All this depends on the fact that the US is ready to offer him (Putin – Ed.) Not only to declare a victory within the country, but to really feel that he had achieved something that was worth a significant pause, and then may return to the fight at some time later,” the official said.
The official pointed to Putin’s repeated references to where the Russian people historically come from, and said that the ruler of the Russian Federation retains a “long -term goal” – to capture most of Ukraine, “at least those parts that are the cradle of Russian civilization” in Putin’s eyes.
Moscow is ready to “play” the United States and limit its immediate goals to improve relations with Washington, agreed by a high -ranking European official, but “clearly did not give up its maximalist goals in the war.”
The Kremlin hopes that improving relations will “divert attention after a tactical pause, and then they will be able to use a complex of military, economic, information and political instruments to achieve the full goals of Putin in Ukraine and abroad,” the official said.
According to a source familiar with these conversations, this year, representatives of American intelligence warned Trump advisers that control over Ukraine remains Putin’s main priority, and indicated that he seeks to take advantage of any hurry in the negotiations by the new administration.