“The Institute of War Study is convinced that Western military assistance to Ukraine and the loss of the Russian Federation on the battlefield are able to shake the idea of Russian ruler Vladimir Putin about the war and make him sit at the negotiation table.”, – WRITE: www.pravda.com.ua
Source: Isw
Literally From the report: “Any increased economic pressure on Russia-although it is a positive political step-it is not enough in itself to force Putin to sit at the negotiating table or change his idea of victory.”
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Details: According to analysts, the continuation of Western military assistance to Ukraine remains the key to the pressure campaign on Russia, which can force Putin to view his idea.
Literally From the report: “The theory of Putin’s victory is based on the assumption that the Russian military can maintain a gradual promotion on the battlefield longer than the Ukrainian forces can defend themselves, and longer than the event is ready to support Ukraine.”
Details: Experts suggest that Putin’s strategy is likely to determine his unwillingness to interact substantially with the United States and Ukraine in peace talks.
They add that the achievement of peace in Ukraine, acceptable to the interests of the United States, requires long loss of Russia on the battlefield or its significant defeat on the front.
The ISW is convinced that the provision of states should continue to provide military assistance to Ukraine, because the loss of Russia on the battlefield remains a key factor in its current problems with equipment, living power and economy.
Literally: “Western assistance, including weapons systems, which only the United States can provide quickly and to the required volume, will allow the Ukrainian forces to better protect their positions, slow down Russia’s promotion and cause even more serious losses to the Russian military.”
Details: The experts of the Institute notes that the increase in the loss of Russian Federation on the battlefield, especially if they do not meet the territorial achievements achieved, will create a risk of Putin’s efforts to balance between the costs of war and socio-economic needs and maintain its support within the country.
Recall: On June 3, the deputy chairman of the Security Council Dmitry Medvedev stated that the purpose of “peace talks” with Ukraine in Istanbul is in fact “ensuring the fast and complete victory of Russia”, not the achievement of “compromise peace”.
On June 7, Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs of Russia said that without “eliminating the root causes of the conflict” Moscow will not allow the forces of Ukraine’s defense “to use a pause for rest and regrouping forces.”