“The report of the United States National Intelligence Director states that although Ukraine and Russia have shown their readiness for partial ceasefire, the leaders of both countries still see the risks of a longer war lower than the risks of unsatisfactory peaceful settlement.”, – WRITE: www.pravda.com.ua
Source: “European Truth” with reference to Bloomberg
Details: This intelligence assessment should be presented on March 25 at hearings at the Senate Intelligence Committee, which are dedicated to the annual report on the world threat. High -ranking US reconnaissance officials should be heard.
Advertising:
According to the report, although Ukraine and Russia have demonstrated their willingness to test a partial cease ceasefire, “leaders are still still considering the risks of a longer war lower than the risks of unsatisfactory settlement.”
Donald Trump administration seeks to reach the ceasefire by April 20, but Ukrainian and European officials consider these terms too ambitious, given the steps of Russian leader Vladimir Putin, aimed at delaying negotiations.
According to the report, “positive trends on the battlefield for Putin allow to show some strategic endurance, and for Ukraine territorial concessions or neutrality without significant security guarantees from the event can cause internal reaction and future instability.”
However, both Putin and President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy are likely to understand the risks of a long war. According to the report, a prolonged conflict can harm the Russian economy and threaten “unwanted escalation in relations with the West”, whereas in the context of Ukraine the future of Western aid is uncertain.
Moscow also retains the impulse on the battlefield, as the war for exhaustion plays in favor of Russia’s military advantage and “will lead to a gradual but steady erosion of Kiev’s position on the battlefield, despite any attempts by the United States or their allies to impose new and greater expenses Moscow,” the report said.
The US Intelligence Community also continues to see the risk that Putin may resort to nuclear weapons. “Russia’s inability to achieve fast and decisive victories on the battlefield in combination with Ukrainian blows in Russia continues to cause concern that Putin can use nuclear weapons,” the report reads.
Recall: As a result of the negotiations in Saudi Arabia, the US, Ukraine and Russia delegation on March 25 agreed work on roar in the Black Sea and a ban on energy infrastructure.
However, the head of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine Rustem Umerov reported that additional technical consultations were required to implement these arrangements.