June 12, 2025
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Ukrainians answered whether territorial concessions for peace and security guarantees

According to the survey, 43% of Ukrainians are ready to accept the actual occupation of some territories by Russia without legal recognition, but provided security guarantees for Ukraine. However, Ukrainians are categorically opposed to the official recognition of the occupation or transfer of the Russian Federation of the country.”, – WRITE: www.pravda.com.ua

According to the survey, 43% of Ukrainians are ready to accept the actual occupation of some territories by Russia without legal recognition, but provided security guarantees for Ukraine. However, Ukrainians are categorically opposed to the official recognition of the occupation or transfer of the Russian Federation of the country.

Source: The results of the KIIS survey conducted on May 15-June 3, 2025

Literally: “If it is a formal recognition of individual territories in part of Russia, then the vast majority (68%) will be opposed. Ready to accept – 24% (we note that we are talking about” individual territories “and not all occupied territories; depending on the territories there may be significant differentiation).

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Also, the vast majority – 78% – reject the transfer of territories controlled by Ukraine. Ready to accept – only 15%.

The only option where at least there is a space for discussions is the de facto recognition of Russia’s control without recognition of de jure. Even in this case, 43% are ready to accept, and categorically against – 48%. ”

Details: According to the survey, if the peace plan includes security guarantees and other important components for the future, then without enthusiasm, but more than half of Ukrainians can accept such a scenario of end of the war.

Thus, according to the respondents, any option that will include the official recognition of the Ukrainian territories as part of Russia or, moreover, the transfer under the control of Russia’s unocal territories will be rejected.

However, Ukrainians retain healthy flexibility and even in the context of territorial control are ready to discuss a compromise variant of recognizing de facto control of Russia without its recognition de jure.

In addition, the results indicate that when Ukrainians now discuss “territorial concessions”, they mostly interpret them as actual recognition that Russia temporarily control certain territories, and Ukraine and the world do not recognize it.

The survey conducted the KIIS during May 15 on June 3, 2025, to which, on his own initiative, he added a question about readiness for territorial concessions, as well as conducted an experiment how different interpretations of “territorial concessions” influence the results.

The method of telephone interviews on the basis of a random sample of mobile numbers in all regions of the government of Ukraine, 2004 respondents were interviewed (about 500 randomly selected respondents were answered for each of the 4 variants of territorial concessions).

The survey was conducted by citizens of Ukraine aged 18 years.

Formally, in normal circumstances, the statistical error of the sampling of 2004 respondents does not exceed 2.9%. The error for sampling about 500 respondents does not exceed 5.8%.

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