August 2, 2025
The ISW commented the statements of the Ministry of Defense of Russia to capture the time ravine thumbnail
Ukraine News Today

The ISW commented the statements of the Ministry of Defense of Russia to capture the time ravine

Analysts noted that geolocated videos published on July 31 indicate that Russian troops probably seized most of the settlement”, – WRITE: www.radiosvoboda.org

On July 31, the Ministry of Defense of Russia stated that the Russian troops seized the Yar in Donetsk region, although existing geolocated records did not confirm the statements that the forces of the Russian Federation have already advanced to the western administrative border of the city, the US Institute for War Study (ISW) writes in its report.

At the same time, analysts noted that geolocid videos published on July 31 indicate that Russian troops probably seized most of the settlement.

“However, the tactical promotion of Russian troops west in the Temporary Yar is not a prompt event in the area, since Russian troops keep most of the Northern and Central Time ravine since late January 2025 and began promotion in the southwestern part of the city in mid-June 2025,” the report said.

The ISW noted that Russian troops have held positions along the T-0504 Bakhmut-Konstantinovka for several months, but have not yet threatened significantly Ukrainian positions in Konstantinovka.

“The ISW has not yet received geolocated personnel that would show Russian troops on the western outskirts of the temporal ravine, and Russian troops will have to displace the Ukrainian forces from positions on these surroundings to complete the capture of the city,” the statement said.

ISW currently estimates that Russian troops have seized approximately 7.81 square kilometers of approximately 10 square kilometers within the administrative ravine.

Analysts noted that the Russian troops took 26 months to move 11 kilometers from the western bonds of Bakhmut, which they captured in May 2023 to a time ravine.

“Russian troops are likely to complete the capture of the time ravine in the coming days, which will open them several possible ways to attack the Ukrainian fortress belt – a number of fortified cities that form the basis of Ukraine’s defense positions in Donetsk region. Russian troops in the direction of the Temporal Yar are about six to eight kilometers from the northeastern outskirts of Konstantinovka and can take advantage of the capture of the time ravine to carry the frontal assault of the city. However, the Russian forces seem to be trying to surround Konstantinovka from the southwest, and therefore can wait with the frontal assault of Konstantinovka, until they move closer to the city from the south through the Totretsky direction, ”the message reads.

Analysts also noted that Russian troops could also attack the west of the Temporal Yar through the fields and small settlements in the direction of Oleksiyevo-Druzhkivka and Druzhkivka to block the route Konstantinovka-Slavic and complicate Ukrainian ways of exit and terrestrial communication lines.

“The capture of the time ravine will open up a number of important ways of promotion for Russian troops, although … they have historically had difficulty transformation of tactical victories into wider operational successes,” the Institute of War Study noted, reminding their assessment that the capture of the fortress belt in the Donetsk.

The Ministry of Defense of Russia declared on the morning of July 31, that the Russian military “released” the city of Yar in Donetsk region. According to the map of the Ukrainian OSINT Project Deep State, in the gray zone, that is, not under the control of the Russian army, there are western and southwestern areas of the city.

In the telegram-channel “Bakhmut Demon”, which is leading the Ukrainian serviceman, said: “Nothing is good. But part of the time is still ours. ”

The General Staff of the Armed Forces did not officially comment on the Russian message. And President Volodymyr Zelenskyy called Russian misinformation a statement about the capture of the time ravine.

The Russian side is not the first time that the capture of a Ukrainian city when fighting is still ongoing, and this situation can last for weeks. This was the case with the occupation of Bakhmut and the coal.

The Ukrainian soldiers have previously acknowledged that if the Russian army manages to occupy the ravine completely, they will take a strategically important height. From there they will be able to start the offensive on Konstantinovka, Kramatorsk and Slavyansk.

Fighting during the ravine continued in the spring of 2024. The distance between the Bakhmut center and the center of the time ravine is 13 kilometers, the highways – 19 kilometers.

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