“The expert predicted how much the hryvnia will fall by the end of the year. Economists predict that the dollar will rise to 47.5 hryvnias by the end of 2025. This will be affected by military actions, a reduction in exports, and the mass closure of FOPs in Ukraine.”, — write on: unn.ua
I have repeatedly predicted that we will meet the New Year with a rate of 42+. And so it happened. In the state budget for 2025, the average annual exchange rate is 45 hryvnias per dollar. This means that by the end of the year we could see the rate at 47+, maybe 47.5
He added that these indicators are in line with budget forecasts and will probably be met. According to the expert, the National Bank of Ukraine remains a key player in the currency market, as it is actually the only currency seller. This allows you to maintain the stability of the course, if unforeseen situations do not occur.
Let’s add
Financial expert, co-founder of Concord Fintech Solutions, the first fintech ecosystem in Ukraine, Olena Sosyedka, predicts the hryvnia to dollar exchange rate at the level of 45-47 hryvnias in 2025.
According to her, the value of the currency will be affected by the following factors: military actions, reduction of exports and continued increase in the cost of production.
In addition, pressure on the hryvnia will increase business closures and the tax burden. Olena Sosyedka reminded that, according to official data, in 2023, about 162 thousand individual entrepreneurs closed down in Ukraine. In 2024, the number of FOPs that ceased their activities reached 210,000, which became a record number in recent years.
“Mass closure of businesses reduces tax revenues to the budget and reduces business activity,” Olena Sosedka emphasized.
According to the financial expert, despite the difficult economic situation, the help of international financial organizations can play an important role in stabilizing the economy.
We will remind
Previously, Olena Sosyedka commented UNN noted that by the end of the year, the dollar exchange rate will probably continue to rise.
In general, by 2025, according to the expert, the price of the dollar may increase by approximately 2 hryvnias, to 42-43 hryvnias.