“Analyzing the data collected, experts of the Institute of War Study (ISW) indicate that Russia can “formally” agree to ceasefire conditions and push the United States to review the agreement with Ukraine on ceasefire.”, – WRITE: www.pravda.com.ua
Source: Isw
Details: Experts say that the Kremlin’s owner Vladimir Putin can be a hostage to the ceasefire to which Ukraine agreed to receive preventive concessions before the start of official negotiations on the termination of the war.
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Reuters reported that high -ranking Russian sources have stated that the Temporary ceasefire agreement would “take into account” the progress of Russia on the battlefield and “resolve concern (Russia – ed.).
Bloomberg reported that sources familiar with the Kremlin’s opinion and the situation stated that Putin would “stretch the timeframe” approval for a temporary ceasefire to ensure that its conditions were “taken into account”.
A source close to the Kremlin said that Russia may require the termination of weapons to Ukraine as a condition for a temporary ceasefire, but did not specify whether such termination would include all international weapons on Ukraine or only those coming from individual countries.
Literally ISW: “The stop of US or other military assistance to Ukraine during the ceasefire would be extremely advantageous for Russia, which continues to receive important supplies and assistance from Iran, North Korea and the Chinese People’s Republic. Such a huge concession would also destroy the United States levers on future negotiations, as well as.”
Details: According to the Russian media, the Kremlin will “formally” give a positive answer to a proposal for a temporary cease ceasefire, but will also require “impossible conditions” that Ukraine cannot agree.
The source of the Russian publication stated that Putin wants to remove Ukraine from negotiations so that Russia can negotiate with the United States on its own, as well as “remedy the situation at the front” to strengthen Russia’s negotiation position.
The source added that the conditions of temporary ceasefire “should be arranged”, and Russia’s consent to a temporary ceasefire, during which Ukraine continues to receive weapons and financing from its partners and allies, is “stupidity”.
Literally ISW: “These signals can be deliberate and part of the Russian negotiation strategy, which aims to push the United States to review the agreement with Ukraine on a temporary ceasefire.
Key conclusions ISW for March 12:
On Wednesday, the Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov gave a blurred answer to the US and Ukraine proposal about the 30-day ceasefire.
Putin can be a hostage to the ceasefire proposal to which Ukraine agreed to receive preventive concessions before the official negotiation of the war.
High -ranking US and Ukraine officials have stated that the purpose of a temporary cease ceasefire is that Russia and Ukraine demonstrate their readiness for peace, and that temporary ceasefire and negotiations on termination of war are separate issues, while the Kremlin may intend to unite them.
The Russian insider’s notification of the requirements that the Kremlin may nominate before the temporary ceasefire is consistent with public statements by Russian officials in recent months.
Against the backdrop of conversation about the war in Ukraine, on March 11, a telephone conversation between CIA John Retcliffe and the head of Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service Sergey Naryshkin took place.
Russian troops recently seized the judge during Russian assaults in the Kursk region on March 12.
Putin visited the Russian military command post in the Kursk region for the first time after the invasion of Ukraine in the Kursk region in August 2024, showing the desire to use the seizure of Sudzhi as a demonstration of military success and strength against the backdrop of the US-Ukrainian proposal for a temporary ceasefire.
The Ukrainian forces advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk, and the Russian forces advanced to the Kursk region and near Borova, Toretsk and the Great Novosilka.