“According to experts of the Institute of War (ISW), Russian ruler Vladimir Putin does not intend to end the war in Ukraine, and this affects the Russians who lean on the Kremlin’s side to continue the war.”, – WRITE: www.pravda.com.ua
Source: Isw
Literally: “The Kremlin’s rhetoric on the relatively rapid pace of Russian fighting in the battlefield in recent months and constant official statements about the need for” denacification “,” demilitarization “and the proclamation of neutrality of Ukraine – the initial goals of the wars declared by the ruler of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin – likely to influence more and more. Russians who refuse to withdraw troops, believing that Russia can reach these goals by way of Continuation of hostilities. ”
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Details: The prolonged war of Russia in Ukraine, however, notes analysts, strains the Russian economy, including due to the increase in inflation, the spending of the sovereign fund of Russia and the exacerbation of the existing labor shortage.
According to experts, Russia will probably face a number of material, human and economic problems in 12-18 months, if Ukrainian troops continue to harm the Russian army at the battlefield with the current speed, which is likely to increase the economic burden that will feel the Russian population in the future.
Literally: “Putin is currently a devotion to the continuation of the war in Ukraine, despite the growing internal political and economic pressure, and does not show any signs that he rethinks his determination to force Ukraine to surrender.”
“Putin and other Kremlin officials have not abandoned their initial goals of war in Ukraine and continue to refer to them, as well as to ban Ukraine to join any security blocks in the future, despite the fact that Russia has not been able to defeat Ukraine in military plan for military plan The last three years. ”
Details: Experts suggest that Putin does not seem to stop the idea of further delaying the war, despite the significant and probably unbearable losses of personnel and equipment over the last three years.
And they add that Putin’s recent statements, in which he rejects the possibility of concluding a peace agreement with Ukraine, testify to his desire to delay the war.
Literally: “Putin continues to make it clear to the Russian military and society that he will not end the war until the full surrender of Ukraine and that he is not interested in a peace agreement, which will require Russia to yield to his ancient goals of war, despite his efforts to demonstrate Western leaders negotiations. ”
Details: The Kremlin’s official representatives also rejected the possibility of ceasefire on all conditions except the full surrender of Ukraine and the West on February 24, once again emphasizing Russia’s unwillingness to compromise during future peace talks.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov declared February 24 during a press conference in Turkey that Russia would stop hostilities in Ukraine only when peace talks would lead to a “strong, stable result that will suit Russia” and take into account the “realities” of the battlefield.
Lavrov noted that any peace agreement should include a provision for a ban on Ukraine’s accession to NATO in the future.
The Russian State TV channel summarized Lavrov’s statements as follows: “Russia will stop fighting only when negotiations end with such a result that will suit Russia.”
Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs of Russia Sergey Ryabkov and Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov made similar statements, emphasizing that Russia will not agree to a ceasefire that does not eliminate the “root causes” of war.
In addition, Russian officials continue to represent Russia to the Ukrainian forces to withdraw troops from the territories that are currently controlled by the Ukrainian forces in the east and south of Ukraine as a “compromise”.
Key conclusions ISW for 24 February:
- Putin ordered the unproven full -scale invasion of Ukraine three years ago, February 24, 2022. Ukraine has not been defeated and has not been destroyed, but remains stable and innovative in the face of this unjustified Russian aggression.
- Over the past three years, which has been since the full -scale invasion of Russia on February 24, 2022, Russia has suffered unacceptable losses in living power and technology.
- On February 24, the UN General Assembly approved a resolution supported by Ukraine and Europe, on the occasion of the third anniversary of a full -scale invasion of Russia into Ukraine, in which Russia recognized Russia as an aggressor in this war, called for just peace in Ukraine and supported Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity.
- Recent surveys show that Russians are increasingly supporting the continuation of the war in Ukraine before Ukraine’s complete surrender, but at the same time begin to feel the economic consequences of the three years of the Russian War, which casts doubt on Putin’s ability to continue balancing between “oil and weapons” in their country in the Middle long -term perspective.
- Putin is currently a devotion to the continuation of the war in Ukraine, despite the growing domestic political and economic pressure, and does not show any signs that he rethinks his determination to compel Ukraine to surrender.
- The Kremlin’s official representatives officially rejected the possibility of ceasefire on all conditions, except for the complete surrender of Ukraine and the West on February 24, once again emphasizing Russia’s unwillingness to compromise during future peace talks.
- European leaders announced a number of new help packages during their visit to Kiev on February 24 on the occasion of the third anniversary of a full -scale invasion of the Russian Federation into Ukraine.
- Russian troops advanced in the Kursk region and near the time ravine, Pokrovsk and the Great Novosilka.
- The Kremlin continues to use Muslim religious and cultural structures in Russia to recruit military personnel.