“COP29 experts: Why the 1.5°C target has become unattainableThree leading research groups predict a 1.5°C increase in global temperatures in 2024. Experts recognize the impossibility of achieving the climate goal due to prolonged inaction.”, — write on: unn.ua
Writes UNN with reference to The Guardian and Focus.
2024 will again be the hottest year on record, with temperatures exceeding 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels for the first time.
The goal of avoiding exceeding 1.5C is tougher than a nail. It is now almost impossible to avoid because we have waited too long to act
Moreover, the expert noted that “we are crossing the 1.5°C limit at an accelerated pace, and this will continue until global emissions stop rising.” The findings were confirmed by three of the five leading research groups monitoring global temperatures.
At the same time, diplomats and experts at COP29 keep talking about 1.5°C.
Clearly, 1.5°C is becoming increasingly difficult. No matter how difficult it is, I do not want to give up on this goal, knowing full well what harm lies on the other side of that 1.5°C
However, the 1.5°C target now appears more rhetorical than scientifically achievable, unless one considers the huge volumes of carbon sequestration in the future with as yet unproven technologies, writes the Guardian.
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“I never thought 1.5C was a conceivable goal. I thought it was a ridiculous thing. I’m absolutely not surprised, as are almost all climate scientists, that we’re slipping past it at this rate,” said Gavin Schmidt, a climate scientist from NASA.
The big problem, say climate and policy experts, is that no one knows what target to adopt next. Should it be 1.6°C, or 1.7°C, or even more? What is realistic yet motivating? Should the new target be a different target temperature or something else?
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“If we can’t get to 1.5C, it’s better to get 1.6C than 1.7C, which would be better than getting 2C or more,” the experts said.
“In any case, we don’t expect a good result. It’s difficult. But every tenth of a degree matters,” Hausfather added.
We will remind
UNN previously reported that climate change has made it possible to grow new crops in regions of Ukraine where they were not grown before, creating opportunities for the development of the agricultural sector. This was stated by the First Deputy Minister of Agrarian Policy and Food of Ukraine Taras Vysotskyi at the conference “Climate Change: Challenges for Agrarian Education and Science”.
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