Close Moscow Airports!

– We cannot enroll you in a flight school for health reasons.
– Then in the air defense. If I don’t fly – no one will fly!

Sociological research shows that the vast majority of Russians, especially in Moscow, do not feel that there is a war. Approximately 80% have either a normal or excellent mood, 70% believe that the country is moving in the right direction and only 17% disagree. Moreover, the mass assessments of the economic situation indicate that everyday life for the majority of the Russian population, and above all for people with a small abundance, has improved over these three years. The same applies to the elite. No one presses on the leadership of the Russian Federation to end the war. We, according to Trump, have no “good cards”.

Meanwhile, we can create very small resources to create a very uncomfortable situation for the population, elite and business of the Russian Federation, closing airport airports from Moscow airports completely or almost completely, as it was on July 6.

Advertising:

Offer To introduce Moscow Aviation Infrastructure Destabilization Strategy through:

• Target blows on military facilities in the Moscow region, without affecting civilian airports,
• Regular creation conditions for anxieties, stops, cancellations or flights (including dissemination of information on the unreliability

The goal – to make air travel with unpredictable and uncomfortablewhich will gradually change the behavior of users and press on the elites.

The main advantage of this approach is that

Significant resources are needed Only on the first two weeksthen the situation can be maintained once a week, and sometimes and less often.

Drones to turn on the “cover” mode in eeroports and flights are required Most cheapthese can be imitators.

Since the beginning of a full -scale invasion of Russia, Ukraine’s aircraft transport has been completely stopped. At the same time, the Russian Federation retains a full -fledged internal airline, in particular through the Moscow Aviation Node, which in 2024 was transported above 55 million passengers. Expected effect of closing Moscow airports:

The level of influence

Duration of systemic disorders

Expected reaction

Local

5-7 days

Passengers postpone/cancel flights

System

10-14 days

Business and administrations switch to alternative means of transportation

Strategic

3–4 weeks

A sharp fall in demand, political pressure from the regions, potential escalation of government requirements

Daughters Drones are needed Only the first 5 daysit is enough to do it every other day, then for two weeks 1-2 times a week on unpredictable days. (A more accurate strategy can be chosen by surveying the population on their choice of routes and transportation means). And all. This is enough to make Moscow’s aircraft unreliable and unpredictable, then this situation will only have to be maintained if the airlines try to restore (once every 7-10 days).

This is a significant blow not only on aviation, but also throughout the infrastructure that serves flights (trading, taxi, logistics, etc.), even the direct losses of air carriers can be $ 10 or more than billion a year, and it is difficult to estimate the losses from business ties. But the main effect is psychological. The most influential Russian population living in Moscow is political and business elite that the war has unpredictable and unpleasant consequences. The transition from air transportation to other modes of transport in such a large country is a significant problem that will be constantly felt. Moreover, if other airports will suffer from time to time.

The strategy of destabilization of aviation infrastructure as an element of long -term psychological, economic and political pressure on the leadership of the Russian Federation is, in my opinion, a fairly effective method of stimulating the ceasefire negotiations. It is relatively cheap, and secondly, it has a minimal risk to civilian population (which is important for our international relations) and a high asymmetrical effect. Of course, the country’s military-political leadership understands the situation better and can have significant arguments against being systematically. I just think they can overestimate the costs they need, and I want to emphasize that significant costs are only needed for 1-2 weeks.

Vladimir PaniottoPresident of the Kiev International Institute of Sociology, Professor of the National University of Kyiv-Mohyla Academy

A column is a material that reflects the author’s point of view. The text of the column does not claim the objectivity and comprehensive coverage of the topic that rises in it. The editorial board of “Ukrainian Truth” is not responsible for the accuracy and interpretation of the information provided and plays only the role of the carrier. The point of view of the UP editorial board may not coincide with the point of view of the author of the column.