Dayana Yastremska – Danka Kovinych. Forecast and announcement for the Aus Open 2025 match

On January 16, Ukrainian tennis player Dayana Yastremska (WTA 33) will continue her performances at the Australian Open 2025.

In the 2nd round, the Ukrainian will play against Danka Kovinbch (Montenegro, WTA 1289). Estimated start time of the game is 02:00 Kyiv time.

Sport.ua will conduct a video broadcast of the match.

Diana Yastremska

Dayana played a great opening match against Mayar Sherif. Zero serves – all 6 break points were saved.

However, Mayar is not at all dangerous on fast courts. Yastremska’s victory was expected, but knowing Dayana, everything could go wrong. However, the Ukrainian made a strong start in defending last year’s semi-final.

Yastremska from Mayar did not play any differently. The situation with Diana’s style is the same as with Marta Kostiuk’s excessive emotions. Yastremska played, plays and will play according to the principle of “hit, and it will be seen.” She won’t give it up. The only thing I would like to see from her is more accuracy. In the same match with Sherif – 22 winners and 25 enforcers. If it went well with the Egyptian, it will also go well with Kovinych, but with Rybakina, who hits no worse, it is unlikely. And after Sherif, Dayana has Yelena.

Diana, I think, feels very confident. She, unlike Marta, has no fear of losing a point. Maybe I’m wrong about Marta, but at least this conclusion can be drawn from her game. Yastremska will play her tennis against any opponent. On the one hand, this is a plus. There is also a minus – Diana has no variability. But with people like Sherif and Kovinych, with whom the Ukrainians will have to play, this is enough.

Getty Images/Global Images Ukraine. Diana Yastremska Danka Kovinych

Unfortunately, there was no opportunity to see how it happened that Danka, who practically did not play in 2024 due to a back injury, took and won in two sets against Lulu Sun, the quarter-finalist of Wimbledon-2024.

But according to the statistics, in principle, everything is clear – Kovinych has 12 winners, while Lulu has 44 enforcers in two games. But it cannot be said that Kovinych was just lucky. Still, 80% of points won on the first serve is very good.

In general, the 30-year-old Danka has been playing on the Tour for a long time at +- stable level, but did not show anything outstanding. 0 trophies at the WTA level, the highest position is 46th, and the best Grand Slam result is the third round at Aus Open 2022 and Roland Garros 2022.

Kovinych has 18 wins and 58 losses against tennis players from the top 50. That is, even purely by numbers, it is clear that Yastremska should win. And if you take into account the fact that Kovinich has just recovered from a back injury, then Diana is a very big favorite. But is Diana a favorite in the fight against herself? 🙂

Getty Images/Global Images Ukraine. Danka Kovynych Prediction for the match of Dayan Yastremsky – Danka Kovinych

Bookmakers lead Diana at odds of 1.13. It’s understandable why, but Lulu San also went for 1.05. And in the end, the New Zealander succeeded, and Diana can do the same.

However, it is not believed that Yastremska will lose. But there are doubts that this victory will be overwhelming. Yastremsky’s win + total over 17.5 games at 1.74 looks good.