“Barcelona” began to defend worse in the 2024/25 season. She has not yet played top matches in La Liga, but even so she has conceded more goals than she has played. 9 goals in 8 games is not critical, but it should have been more. Somewhere Garcia saved, somewhere they openly forgave opponents. When they didn’t forgive, the Catalans lost crushingly to “Seville” (1:4). According to expected missed, they are outside the top 7 in the championship. Not only “Real”, “Atletico” and “Atlético”, but also “Getafe” and “Elche” are better. The main reason is the departure of defender Martinez and the club’s inability to find a replacement for him. In the summer, it seemed that the Spaniard left because of the desire of “Barcelona” to improve the financial situation, but no: the other day, he admitted in an interview that the decision to go to earn money was his own. Laporta is not guilty. But it doesn’t make it any easier for the Catalans and Flick: life without Martinez is really bad.
But with our rubric – even very good. With a bet of UAH 1,000 per event, they earned UAH +7,240 for the last issue, and a crazy +14,860 for the last 3. It is impossible to maintain such a crazy pace all the time, but to close the next weekend in the plus is completely. We will deal with this in the following paragraphs.
17.10. Oviedo – Espanyol, Both will score, cf. 2
“Oviedo” is a team with one of the worst attacks in La Liga. A total of 4 goals scored in 8 rounds, more expected, but 6.66 is also not that much. But according to the DC indicator, passes within a radius of 16.5 meters from the opponent’s goal, the team is better than as many as 6 other teams of the championship. That is, he finds himself in dangerous zones – he simply does not hit. Already in the season, he scored both from a positional attack, and from a quick attack, and from a standard, that is, he has a certain variability. He distinguished himself in the goal of “Barcelona”. “Espanyol” is his competitor for maintaining registration in LL. If not to score at his home, then to whom and where? By the way, he missed in 6 of the last 7 outings in the Premier League. Guest goal? Oviedo have conceded in all but one of their games this season, while Espanyol have scored in 6 of 8, with one of the exceptions coming against Real Madrid in Madrid. Catalans will score at least once.
18.10. Sevilla – Mallorca, Both will score, cf. 2.05
Sevilla beat Barcelona 4-1 – wow. Won twice in a row – wow. Back in the top 6 of the La Liga table – also wow. But how was it? Extreme victories were won by the team with less than 40% ball possession. Cool knows how to play the second number? Certainly. But in the last match, the winning streak yielded 1:2 with 65% control of the round, which is indicative. To score on counterattacks is one thing, and to defend against them is another. “Mallorca” is in the top 5 worst possession teams in the league. Sevilla will play in an uncomfortable scenario with control over the circle and the territory. She already has only 2 matches to zero in the season, but the chance to make a cracker in such inconvenient circumstances is minimal. But yes, she will score: she did it in all rounds of the season. And “Mallorca” missed in 4 out of 4 outings.
18.10. Barcelona – Girona, P1 and both will score, 2.05
“Girona” scored only 5 goals in 8 rounds, but only Vanat did not realize 3 big chances. That is, the moments are created, and they are really wonderful – only the realization is not enough. And this is now, when football players were leaving one after another, the game was not going well, morale was at zero… Then the team will only add to the generation of chances. The main goalkeeper Garcia will not play for “Barcelona”, and Szczesny is not yet in shape – if anything, he will not save. However, even so, the Catalans will probably win. Yamal, Fermin, Torres and Rashford will make a result in attack. Girona’s defense, with 17 conceded, is the worst in the league. And this team is still conceding less than expected… “Barca” already won the shootout 4 times this season: conceded, but scored more. There will be 5 cases.
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18.10. Villarreal – Betis, Both to score, 1.64
In 8 matches of “Villarreal” in the championship, 22 goals were scored – quite a high indicator, his matches are in the top 8 most productive in the country. But there is a nuance: they should have become even more “fun”. Submarine scored 2 more and conceded 4 more, based on xG metrics. If she simply did not “lose” goals due to poor implementation, her own and opponents’, she would have the second most productive matches in the championship. Last season, the team both scored and conceded in 68% of matches in the league, this time – only in 50%. Should select matches with exchanges of goals. “Betis” does not play so “festively”, but it has scored and conceded in 12 consecutive away matches in the LL, this season – in 4 out of 4. In the current season, its attack has not been silent even once.
18.10. Atletico – Osasuna, F1(-1), 1.57
Finally something other than “both will score”! Earlier in the season, I already played against Atlético and on their missed ball. Now it’s time to bet on the team itself. Are Madrid convincing at the start of the season? No. Have good results at home? Yes. In the capital of Spain, the team won 4 times in a row. In all these matches she scored 2+, in 3 out of 4 she won with a difference of at least 2 goals, in the last pair – by 3+. In this arena, the team is capable of magic. To give you an idea of the scale: Atlético have scored in every first half this season so far. Starts to attack from the opening minutes, every time – successfully. What else to add? Alvarez is in top form and Osasuna have lost all, 4 out of 4, away matches of the La Liga season. “Atletico” has excellent chances to win confidently.
18.10. Atletico – Osasuna, 1st half: TB1, 1.74
I already touched on this topic a little. Atlético had scored at home in all matches of the season before the break. In the last couple of cases – more goal. It is interesting that in most matches he also missed in the first half. Therefore, the bet played in 4 out of 5 cases, one more – a return. “Osasuna” is a grassroots team. On average, her matches in the season contain less than 2 goals. But the first half is equal to the ball. That is, even more effective than the second. An interesting feature, due to which the team spent as many as 5 first halves in La Liga in a row through TB0.5, the last couple – through TB1.5. In the Premier League, traditionally, the starting 45 minutes give a high ratio of goals before the break, and these teams have scored as many as 13 in 8 rounds – they can be trusted in this regard.
19.10. Elche – Athletic, Corners: TB8.5, 1.66
Too high a ratio for such an event. 9 corners is not a lot at all. In the last championship, as many as 16 out of 20 clubs of the championship had TB8.5 for corners in more than 50% of cases. This season, even the worst in terms of points have at least 2-3 situations with breaking through the required TV in 8 rounds. “Elche” so-so serves corners, but took at least 3 in all but one of the home games of the draw. Likes to play with the ball and attack. “Athletic” won only 1 of 7 matches after Williams’ injury, it is difficult for him to create moments without Niko. What does this lead to? The team cannot play pragmatically and according to the score, because it does not have this necessary score. Attacks a lot, but in a straight line – that’s why he earns a lot of corners. In 6 out of 8 matches, LL served 6+. It is enough for the collectives to fulfill their own standards in order to break through such a modest TV.
19.10. Celta – Real Sociedad, 1X+TB1.5, 1.6
I believe that the “hero’s path” exists in Primera. What is it? 3 rounds ago, “Sociedad” celebrated its first victory in the LL. Where? Home . 2 rounds ago he was supported by “Mallorca”: also the first win, also at home. Last round, Girona joined the trend. Well, you got it: she won at home. Only “Celta” remained without victories in general, and now they are playing at home… They have not won yet, but they have drawn 6 times, the last 4 at home in the LL: 1:1, 1:1, 1:1 and 1:1. If all goes well, he will finally win. If not – again 1:1. This option will also suit us. “Sociedad” is still very bad: won in 1 round out of 8, conceded 5 times in the last 6 matches, lost to everyone on the road, and in 3 extreme cases for the first time – even before the break. We must bet on “Celta”. Well, on to the goals: TB1.5 has not yet failed in its matches this season.
19.10. Levante – Rayo Vallecano, Both to score, 1.76
“Levante” is a bus. But how is it going! Already scored 13 goals in 8 rounds. Runs well. It has football players who do not lose concentration in the game without the ball and realize their only moment in the match. It is not for nothing that it is the current champion of Segunda. The opponent is Rayo. Vallecano has the fifth-best possession rate in the league, without the top three – the second-highest among 17 clubs. Thanks to this football with the ball, he scored in most matches, as well as twice against Atletico in Madrid. That is, in this match, both teams get a comfortable scenario ahead: some will create chances in quick attacks, others will generate moments in positional ones. Last season, Rayo scored in 16 out of 20 matches against clubs in the second half of the table, Levante this season – in all their home games. Local on a series of 5 matches with accurate shots.
19.10. Levante – Rayo Vallecano, Corners: TB10.5, 2.2
Another prediction for the match. “Levante” is the worst team in terms of completed corners in the season. On the one hand, it is not in favor of the bet. On the other hand: it’s time to play against the streak. The team has an average of only 2.12 corners per match – very few. Last season, the team with the worst indicator had 2.97, excluding those who were relegated, 3.82. That is, “Levante” will certainly significantly add to the aspect. Why not now? A match against a team from the second half of the table, without a top team, is also a home match. “Levante” can do at least 3-4, if not more. And Rayo will pick up the rest, which even averages 6.68 per season. He had 6+ in most matches, 9 and even 12 in some. Now he will sit at the opponent’s goal and take corners for the whole 90 minutes. TB10.5 cornerbacks played in most of his matches this season.
19.10. Getafe – Real Madrid, K2 will score 1-2 goals, 1.69
Mbappe was injured in the national team, but is already training with the team. Maybe he will play with Getafe, but probably for more than an hour. And then who to score? The second, third and fourth scorers of the team have a total of 14 goals in the season, Kylian – 15. Real Madrid is unlikely to score a lot for anyone without the full contribution of the Frenchman. And even if so, then not at the gates of Getafe. Last season, this team conceded in 6 out of 6 league matches against Real Madrid, Barcelona and Atlético, but in all – a maximum of twice. Getafe are not classy enough to play for nil against the top teams, but they are organized enough to prevent a rout. Now the team is on a streak of 3 matches, where they conceded just 1-2 goals. He will not be able to stop Real Madrid’s attack, but he will be able to create problems for it.
20.10. Alaves – Valencia, 1X+TB1.5, 1.86
Again, far from the best match was postponed for Monday. In essence, the battle of the middle peasants. Both teams are unlikely to be relegated, but they will not be able to qualify for the European Cups either. In short, plus and minus are equal. Alaves is even in the table above. Its composition is weaker, but the team runs perfectly. Has the second best defense in the Premier League in terms of conceding, but has also scored in every home game. A team in shape that depends on the physical training of football players is so difficult to overcome. In the last round, Alaves scored more than 2 goals in the championship for the first time in 8 months. And also inflicted the first defeat of the season on “Elche” (3:1). “Valencia” has only 2 victories in the last 26 outings in the LL. She doesn’t play well away from home, so she won’t beat an in-form opponent on his field. But goals in the match are guaranteed: as many as 6 matches in a row were played through TB1.5.
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Source: sport.ua