Crawford could win Kanello. However we have too much “but”

On September 13, Las Vegas will take place a boxing match that calls a large number of fans and experts the main confrontation of the year. The 35-year-old Absolute World Champion in the Second Medium Weight Category Mexican Saul Alvarez (63–2–2, 39 KO) will meet with the 2nd Absolute World Champion 37-year-old American Terens Crawford (41–0, 31 KO).

The status of the absolute world champion will be at stake – the American can win all the authoritative belts for the third time in his career. To do this, he goes into two weight categories up.

Crawford almost lost in the past battle. And now rises even higher, risking everyone American Terans Crawford will enter the ring for the first time in a year. In the summer of 2024, he tried his hand in a new weighted division. The Terence moved from the middle weight category, where he was the actual leader for the years, to the first average.

He made his debut in Crawford victory over Israel Madrimov. At the time of the meeting, a 30-year-old boxer from Uzbekistan had only 11 matches in the profits: 10 wins and 1 defeat. At the same time he created a lot of problems for the American.

Two points are important here. The first: Madrimov is an experienced boxer, despite his short career in professionals. Uzbek amateur boxing is on the rise, and Israel is part of this story. The second: the first average weight was almost a obstacle for Crawford.

It is important to note that Terans accurately won the battle. After all, many, seeing the American’s speech, stated that he had lost. No, it’s not. However, it was really difficult. Not the most difficult in Crawford’s career.

This is not surprising. The opponent is a good boxer, and the Terence first boxes in the first middleweight. You should get used to the category and try yourself in it, not jump out at the leader.

Now the American goes on. Even further – much. It rises two more categories up to the weight, where it was already uncomfortable to beat with the leader of the division Saul Alvarez. Not just a champion like Madrimov, but an absolute champion, who was firmly in weight and was not going to move from the place of the main fighter of the division for a very long time.

It is not just a risky solution, but decisive. Victory will bring a huge bonus to careers. The defeat burns everything that Terans has worked on for years. Alvarez emphasizes that Crawford will fight the elite fighter for the first time, and do not be surprised when after defeat (if any), thousands of people will remember these words. And then this story will stick to the terrain for a long time: he did not beat the first elite opponent in his career, everything is clear.

If you say frankly, the defeat should not cross anything. Crawford has already made a wonderful career and won the ring with whom he was predicted by defeat – Errol Spence. Dimensions and strength did not help Errol. However, Kanelo is another.

The whole point is in size. Alvarez rose to half -weight weight and felt calmly under the attacks of local champions. He even discussed Kruzerweit and Hevaita’s lifting. In the first case, there was a probable rival, the second discussed Usik.

Crawford has never fought in the second middleweight. And just in the middle – no. And in the first middle category it did not look the best. And again, not feeling in weight, Terence goes very higher and goes to the leader. When a gentle, risky decision.

Getty Images/Global Images Ukraine On the other hand, such decisions can lead to legendary achievements. After all, the victory over Crawford for Canel will be another victory. Yes, of course, over a fighter who is better than the previous skills. However, nothing is special because it beat the fighter who came from the lower divisions. So, Saul has to win such a rival.

Who is the favorite? Bookmakers consider the Mexican favorite. On Saul Alvarez can be placed with a factor of 1.60. On the Crawford Terens – with a factor of 2.35. It seems that for the first time in the career of Terens has such a large separation from the opponent and not in a positive way.

Can an American win a rhetorical question. Yes, of course, it can. He did this so many times, why isn’t there a chance to cope this time? The question is different: how high is the likelihood of this?

Saul Alvarez is larger. Not literally, but in terms of weight. The Mexican spent too many years in the second middle category to be an outsider. He beat the cool opposition here and became the absolute world champion twice. Alvaress cannot be considered an outsider in such a duel.

Kanelo has its disadvantages. For example, an experience that is also a positive side of his summary. Alvarez is a long time ago. It has been in sports for over 15 years, and activity has indeed affected. Recently, the Mexican is not so active in the attack, not so rigid and has not won the knockout.

All this has greatly moved Alvarez from the 1st place of the best boxers of the world outside the weight category. In the best Trinity, Alexander Usyk, Naoi Inoe and Terence Crawford are now. And somewhere there is Alvarez, which wins confidently and cool, but without something special.

And this is what it is worth counting the fans of the Teren. There will be no version of 2020 or 2021. That it would be the same Alvarese who was chasing 12 rounds by William Scall or could not invent anything against Bivol.

In this case, Terence can count on victory. In this case, you can really fire the opponent from the distance and you can try. Crawford is usually more active in the ring about strokes, and with his feet, everything is great. It remains only not to miss. However, if the Scall did not miss, why is an American.

However, this is only under these conditions. If you look at the situation on this side, where Alvarez is slower than once, and Crawford himself did not lose his endurance and speed with a set of pounds.