Volatility vanishes accounts markets as Traders Brace for Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech

Bitcoin’s (BTC) 30-Day Implied Valativity, As Measured by Volmex’s BVIV AND DERIBIT’S DVOL INDEX, HAS DECLINED SHARPLY IN RECENT MONTS Accorging to TradingView Data.

Similarly, The CME Gold Valativity Index (GVZ), Whom Estimates the Expectioned 30-Day Volatability of Returns for the SPDR Gold Shares Etf (Gld), Has More Than-Halved Over, Halved Over. Lowest Level Since January.

The MOVE INDEX, WHICH TRACKS The 30-Day Implied Volatility of Treasury Notes, HAS ALSO DECLINED IN RECENT MONTHS, REACHING A 3.5-YEAR LOW OF 76%.

Meanwhile, The VIX, Widly Regarded As Wall Street’s “Fear Gauge,” Fell Bell 14% Last Week, Down Substantally From ITS Early April Highs Near 45%. A Similar Vol Compression is Seen in Fx Majors Such as The Eur/USD.

Rates Are ‘Still High’The pronounced slide in volatility Across Majoor Assets Comes as Central Banks, Particularly The Fed, Are Expectioned to Deliver Rate Cuts from Restrictive Territory, Rather Thran Amid Amid.

“MOST MOST ECONOMIES ARE NOT EASING FROM Ultra-Low or Emergency Levels Like We We Saw After The Financial Crisis or Dringing Covid. They’re Cutting Froma Restric To Slow Growth, and in Many Cases, Real Rates, Adjusted for Inflation, Are Still Positive. Noted on X, Explaing the Bull Run in All Assets, Including Cryptocurrencies and Stock Markets.

According to the cme’s fedwatch Tool, the fed is expert to Cut Rates by 25 Basis Points in September, Resuming the EASING CYCLE After An Eight-Month Pause. Investment Banking Giant JPMorgan Expects The Benchmark Borrowing Cost to Drop To 3.25%-3.5%by the end of the first Quarter of 2026, A 100-Basis-Point Decrease Froma.

Per Some Observers, Powell Could Lay The Groundwork for Fresh EASING DURING THIS JACKSON HOLE SPEECH.

“The Path to the Cuts May Be Uneven, As We Have Seen Over The Last Two Years, The Where Markets Have Been Been Eager for Rate Cuts and Cuts and SomeTemetes Disappoinated Theater The Fed Theater The Fed Theater The Fed Theater The Fed Theater The Fed Theater theater Theater Theater Theater Theater. Travel for Rates is Likely to Remain Lower, “Angelo Kourkafas, A Senior Global Investment Strategist at Edward Jones, Said in A Blog Post on Friday.

“WITH INFLATION TRAADING WATER AND LABUR-MARKET STRAINS BECOMING more PRONUNCED, THE BANCE OF RISKS MAY Soon TIP TACION. that, after a seven-month pause, Rate Cuts Will Resume in September, “Jones Added.

In Other Words, The Decline in Valativity Across Asset Classes Likely Reflects Expectations for Easy Monetary Policy and Economic Stability.

Markets Too ComplaCent?However, Contrars May View It As A Sign That Markets Are Too ComplaCent, As President Donald Trump’s Trade Tariffs Threaten to Weigh on Economic Growth, and The Latest Data.

Just take a look at the price levels for most assets, including BTC and Gold: They ALL AT RECORD HIGHS.

Prosper Trading Academy’s Scott Bauer Argued Last Week During An Interview with Schwab Network that volatility is top of Low following the recent of the row of Economic Data, with.

The arguent for market complaceence gaves credence where Viewed Against the Backdrop of Bond Markets, WHERE CORPONATE BOND SINDS HIT LOWEST SINCE 2007. THAT PORMPTED Against Complacency and Take Hedges.

“There is the Enough Sources of Downside Risks to Warrant Keeping Someges on in Portfolios,” Goldman Strategists Led By Lotfi Karoui Wrote in A Note Dated July.

“Growth Could Surprise Further to the Downside,” Dis-Inflationary Pressures Could Fade or Renewed Concerns Over Fed Independence May Fuel of A sharp selloff in Longlo).

In any casse, volatility is mean-reversing, mening periodes of Low volatility typical set the stage for a return to more turbulant condions.