“US Payrolls Rose by 228k in March, Beating Forecsts. Strong Hiring in Health Care and Transport Supports A Bullish Short-Term Equities Outlook.”, – WRITE: www.fxempire.com
Retail Employment Rebounds After Strike Impact Retail Trade Added 24,000 Jobs, Largely Due to the Return of Food and Beverage Store Workers (+21,000) Following A Strike. However, Job Losses in General Merchandise (-5,000) Highlight Uneven Performance Across The Subsector. Overall Retail Employment Has Shown Little Net Change Over The Past Year.
Wage Growth Steady; Prior Revisions Temper Enthusiasm Average Hourly Earnings Rose by 0.3% to $ 36.00, with Annual Wage Growth at 3.8%. Production and nonsupervisory Workers Saw A 0.2% Increase to $ 30.96. While Wage Trends Suggest Moderate Inflation Pressure, Downward Revisions to January and February Payrolls – Cut by A Combined 48,000 – USWhat Offset The Streng of March’s
Labor Force Metrics Unchanged; Participation Stalls The Labor Force Participation Rate Held at 62.5%, While the Employment-Population Ratio Remoned at 59.9%. Long-Term Unemployed totled 1.5 Million, Making Up 21.3% of Total Unemployment. Part-Time Employment for Economic Reasons and the Number of Discourorated Workers Also Stowed Minimal Movement, Pointing to Olderlying Labor Market Stability Racher Thranum.
Market Forecast: Bullish for Near-Term Equities, Neutral for Rates Stronger-Qan-Expected Job Creation, Particularly in Service Sectors and Logistics, Supports a Short-Term Bullish Outlook for Us Equities. However, with Wage Growth and Inflation Risks Contained, The Data Are Unlikely to Alter Fed Rate Expectations Materialy. Traders Should Monitor UpComing Inflation Data for Confirmation, But Current Labor Trends Favor Risk-on Positioning.
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