June 18, 2025
Uk cpi softens in may; Iran Tensions Stir Uncertainty on Boe Policy Path; GBP/USD Spikes thumbnail
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Uk cpi softens in may; Iran Tensions Stir Uncertainty on Boe Policy Path; GBP/USD Spikes

Sticky Services Inflation and Oil Price Risks May Delay Boe Policy Shifts Despite Weak GDP.”, – WRITE: www.fxempire.com

PUBLISHED: JUN 18, 2025, 06:18 GMT+00: 00

Key Points:

  • UK Inflation Cooled to 3.4% in May, Fueling Special Boe Rate Cut Bets Amid Slowing Economic Momentum.
  • Core Inflation Droped to 3.5%, Below Forecasts, Supporting Expectations of EASING MONETARY Policy.
  • Sticky Services Inflation May Delay Boe Cuts Despite Weakening GDP and Retail Demand Concerns.
UK Inflation

More Information In Our Economic Calendar Boe to Hold Rates in June Economists Expert the Boe to Keep Interest Rates at 4.25% on Thursday, June 19, Despite The UK Economy Lozing Momentum in April. The UK GDP Fell 0.3% MONT-ON-MONTH AS SERVICES OUTPUT DROPPED FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE OCTOVER 2024.

However, Sticky Inflation and Potentilly Higher Oil Prices Could Raise Stagflation Risks. Monetary Policy Uncertainty and A Worsening Economic Outlook May Pressure GBP/USD.

Ahead of May’s Inflation Report, Ing Economics Commented On The Boe’s Potential Rate Path, Stating:

“We Expect the Bank of England to Keep Rates at 4.25% on 19 June, But Some Disappeinting Job Numbers, Lower Wage Growth, and A More Optimistic Outlook for Service. November. ”

May’s Services Inflation Numbers Supported Ing Economics’ Outlook. However, The Iran-Israel Conflict Remains a Curveball for Economists and Central Bankers.

Friday’s UpcomING RETAIL Sales Figures Could Give A Better Gauge of Momentum in the UK Economy and the Boe’s Path Forward.

GBP/USD VALATY POST-INFLATION DATA Ahead of the Inflation Report, The GBP/USD Dipped to a Low of $ 1.34145 Before Climbing to a High of $ 1.34489. Following The Report, The Pair Fell To A Low of $ 1.34403 Before Surging to A High of $ 1.34621.

On Wednesday, June 18, The GBP/USD WAS UP 0.19% to $ 1.34530. The Upswing Likely Signled The Potential Impact of Sticky Inflation on the Boe’s Policy Outlook.

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