“Experts agreed that this could happen if the US president-elect makes a series of mistakes in front of Russia.”, — write: www.unian.ua
Experts agreed that this could happen if the US president-elect makes a series of mistakes in front of Russia.
Negotiations between Ukraine and Russia may not be as promised by Trump/ UNIAN collage, photo president.gov.ua, ua.depositphotos.comPeace talks between Ukraine and Russia may take place as early as 2025, but they may turn out to be “fragile” if US President-elect Donald Trump does not support them with guarantees of Ukraine’s security, experts believe.“A strong agreement must necessarily contain strengthening [України] and support [її] position to convincingly deter Russia from new attempts,” said RAND Corporation political analyst Paul Kormari in a comment to Business Insider.
He also noted that Russia has experience of actions when it “takes a grain at a time”, which also applies to Ukrainian territories. This applies both to the occupation of Crimea and parts of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions in 2014, and to what Russia captured during the full-scale war – in total, about 20% of the territory of Ukraine.
The media also reports that, although the details of the potential peace agreement remain a mystery, it will not include support for Ukraine’s accession to NATO. Kremlin dictator Vladimir Putin said that any peace agreement must contain Ukraine’s consent to neutrality. Therefore, reporters speculate that Trump may agree to this demand, based on the comments of JD Vance, an aide to the president-elect.
“The plan may seem to neatly sidestep the problem that some say is at the heart of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine: preventing NATO’s eastward expansion. Critics, however, say such a deal could further embolden Putin and ignore the fact that the real motive of the Russian president is imperialist conquests,” the article says.
Experts even report that Ukraine was “neutral” until 2014, and this was Putin’s “green light” for occupation actions. They call a strong defense in alliance with Western partners the only guarantee against further Russian aggression.
What will the security agreement look like?According to Kormari, if Trump removes the issue of Ukraine’s membership in NATO, it will be equally possible to conclude a security agreement of a different type, since, for example, Ukraine’s European allies could take a leading role in the country’s defense.
Troops of Ukraine’s European allies may be sent to Ukraine to deter Russian attacks. Kormary also believes that another option could be to increase Ukraine’s ability to defend itself against a Russian attack through the US foreign military financing program.
Peace talks between Russia and Ukraine – what is knownEarlier, UNIAN reported that Russia has no reason to sit down with Ukraine at the negotiating table, even despite huge losses. Nevertheless, they have progress at the front and towards the fulfillment of their goals, Maksym Zhorin believes. Therefore, even Trump will not solve the problem of war.
In addition, it is believed that the recent missile strikes between Ukraine and Russia have, in particular, political goals. The “Lishchyk” strike on the Dnipro is part of Putin’s strategy for future negotiations.
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