June 22, 2025
The Probability of Iran Blocking Strait of Hormuz Surges to 52% on Polymarket After Trump's Air Strikes on Iran's Nuclear Facility thumbnail
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The Probability of Iran Blocking Strait of Hormuz Surges to 52% on Polymarket After Trump’s Air Strikes on Iran’s Nuclear Facility

BTC HELD ABOVE $ 100K, Continuing Its Boring Multi-Week Rangeplay.”, – WRITE: www.coindesk.com

BTC HELD ABOVE $ 100K, Continuing Its Boring Multi-Week Rangeplay. Jun 22, 2025, 5:43 AM

The Probability of Iran’s Leadership Blocking The Strait of Hormuz for Shiping Has Increased Following the Us Airstrikes on Iran’s Nuclear Facilities.

AT Press Time, Shares of the Yes Side of the Polymarket-Listed Contract “Will Iran Close The Strait of Hormuz Before June 30 Traded at 40 Cents, Representing A 40% Probability. Meanwhile, The Odds of the Event Occurring by the end of the year increasted to 52%, up from 33% of the previos day.

Approximately 20 Million Barrels of Oil Are Transported Through the Strait of Hormuz Daily, Accounting for AROUND 20% of the World’s Oil Consp Therefore, the potential closure of the hormuz Could Trigger A Sustaned Oil Price Shock.

Accorging to JPMorgan’s Analysts, Shutting The Strait of Hormuz Could Catapult Crude Oil Prices to An Eye-Popping $ 120 to $ 130 per Barrel.

Such A Spike in Oil Prices, Coupled With The Ongoing Trade War, Could Lead to Stagflation – The Worst Outcome for Financial Assets, Including Cryptocurrencies.

Polymarket: Will Iran Close The Strait of Hormuz in 2025? (Polymarket)Polymarket: Will Iran Close The Strait of Hormuz in 2025? (Polymarket)

As of Writing, The Cryptocurrency Market Has Not Shown Any Signs of Panic, with Bitcoin

Continuing to Trade Above $ 100,000, Per Coindesk Data.

President Donald Trump ConfirMed Airstrikes Saturday Evening, Saying The Attack Obliterated Three Critical Iranian Nuclear Enrichment Facilies, Calling “The Bully of The Middle East [Iran] to make peace. ”

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole is a co-managing Editor on Coindesk’s Markets Team Based in Mumbai, Holds A Masters Degree in Finance and A Charted Market Technician (CMT) Member. Omkar Previoously Worked at FxStreet, Writing Research on Currency Markets and As Fundamental Analyst at Currency and Commodities Desk at Mumbai-Based Brokerage Houses. OMKAR HOLDS SMALL AMUNTS OF BITCOIN, Ether, Bittorrent, Tron and Dot.

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