“US Jobless Claims Rose Above Forecasts, But Strong Q2 Productivity and EASING UNIT LABOR COSTS SUSTS Support A Mildly Bullish Outlook for Equities and Manufacting.”, – WRITE: www.fxempire.com
Unit Labor Costs Up 1.6%, Eased by Productivity Gains Despite A 4.0% Increase in Hourly Compensation, The 2.4% Rise in Productivity Helped Cap Unit Labor Cost Growth to 1.6% for Q2. Over The Past Year, Unit Labor Costs Are Up 2.6%, Showing Manageable Wage Inflation – Likely Reducing Immediate Upward Pressure on Producer Prices. Real Hourly Complation Increated 2.3% Quarter-on-Quarter, Suggesting Workers’ Income Is Outpacing Inflation Modestly.
Manufacturing Sector Posts Broad Gains – Durables Lead Manufacturing Productivity Climbed 2.1% in Q2, Led By A 3.3% Rise in Durable Goods Productivity, Which Benefited From A 4.1% Jump In Output and Moderate Labor Input. Nondurable Manufacturing Lagged, with A Smaller 1.2% Productivity GAIN. Importantly, Durable Goods Unit Labor Costs Declined by 0.2%, UndersCoring Efficiency Improvements – A Support Backdrop for Capital Goods and Industriales Equities.
Outlook: Bullish Bias, But Watch For Labor Strain and Fed Signals The Combination of Rising Productivity and Subdored Unit Labor Cost Growth Signals Improved Corporate Efficiency, A Generally Bullish Input For Equity Markets. However, The Uptick in Jobless Claims and Persenti Wage Gaves Restrain The Federal Reserve from EASING POLICY SOON. Traders Should Watch for UpcomING INFLATION AND CONSUmer Demand Data to Assess if Productivity Gains Offset Labor Cost Pressures Further. The Current Bias Remains Modestly Bullish, with Manualafacting and Productivity-Driven Sectors Best Positiored for OutperForgance.