March 15, 2025
New Canadian Pm Carney Closes Gap on Polymarket with BTC-Friendly Poilievre thumbnail
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New Canadian Pm Carney Closes Gap on Polymarket with BTC-Friendly Poilievre

Polymarket Initially Diverged from Polls Showing that Opposition Leader Pierre Poilievre Had A Commanding Lead Over The Liberal’s Mark Carney.”, – WRITE: www.coindesk.com

Polymarket Initially Diverged from Polls Showing that Opposition Leader Pierre Poilievre Had A Commanding Lead Over The Liberal’s Mark Carney. Mar 15, 2025, 9:18 AM UTC

Newly Elected Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, Who Recently Won a Leadership Contest of the Liberal Party to Replace Justin Trudeau, Has Dramatic Thee -Inted His Oeds. Eyes of Polymarket Bettors.

(Polymarket)(Polymarket)

Carney now A 49% Chance of Winning the Next Canadian Election, Compared to 26% A MONTH AGO. Conservative Opposition Leader Pierre Poilievre’s CHANCES Are at 51%, Down from 72% in February.

(Polymarket)(Polymarket)

The NEXT Canadian Federal Election is screduled to Occur on October 20, 2025.

However, Under Canada’s Westminster System, if the Opposition Conservatives and NDP Jointly Vote Against The Minority Liberal Government on a Confidnce Motion AFTER PARLICAMENT RECUMENT by trudeau on jan. 6, as he AnnounCed His Resign Plans PENDING A NEW Liberal Leader, The Government Wound Fall, Triggering An Election.

Carney Closing the Gap Against Poilievre on Polymarket – Despite a Lag Between Predict Markets and the Polls – echoes what the polls are are.

The Conservatives Are Just One Percentage Point Ahead of the Liberals, Accounting To Canadian Pollster Nanos Research, Down from Nearly a 16-Point Lead a MONTH AGO AGOCCORDING TO DO.

Observers Credit this dramatic Shift to Trade Threats from The Us, With Pollsters Indicating Canadians Prefer Carney’s Business Sense and Central Bank Experience Over his Over.

This is all a bit of a Contrast to Last Year’s US Election, WHERE PREDICATION MARKETS CONSISTENTIVED SHOWED THAT THAT-REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE DONALD TRUMP HAD A LEAD Over His Democratic OPPONENTS.

The Election Result, As Coindesk Wrote in An Editorial at the Time, Was Only A Surprise to Those Who Get Their Information from Cnn.

Crypto on the Canadian Campaign Trail?

Crypto Doesn’t Seem to be a Majoor Plank of A HyPothatic Canadian Election. While Poilievre Holds A Canadian-Sissued BTC ETF, accounting to discolosures, and have prevoses

Likewise, Carney, Who Has Mixed IF Not Skeptical Comments on Crypto in His Role As Bank of England Governor HASNOR HASNR SPOKEN ABOUT LIBOT.

Sam ReynoldsSam Reynolds is A Senior Reporter Based in Asia. Sam Was Part of the Coindesk Team that Won the 2023 Gerald Loeb Award in the Breaking News Category for Covers of FTX’s Collaps. Prior to Coindesk, He Was A Reporter with BlockWorks and A Semiconductor Analyst with IDC.

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Sam Reynolds

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