“As we Approach the Final Quarter of 2025, Key Charts Provide Valuable Insights to Help Crypto Traders Navigate The Evolving Market Landscape.”, – WRITE: www.coindesk.com
As we Approach the Final Quarter of 2025, The Following Key Charts Provide Valuable Insights to Help Crypto Traders Navigate The Evolving Market Landscape.
Bullish SeasonalitySeasonal Trends Suggest A Bullish Q4 Outlook for Both BTC$ 109.674.12 an Eth$ 3,946.16The Top Two Cryptocurrencies by Market Capitalization.
Since 2013, BTC$ 109.674.12 HAS DELIVED AVERAGE RETURN OF 85% in the Final Quarter, Account to Data From Coinglass, Making Q4 Historically The Strongest Period for Bulls.
Seasonality Leans Bullish for Btc and Eth. (Coinglass)
November Stands Out As the MOST BULLISH MONTH, WITH An AVERAGE GAIN OF 46%, Followed by October, Which Typical SEES A 21% INCREASE.
Eth$ 3,946.16 Also Tends to Perform Well in the Last Three Months of the Year, AlhoUGH ITS STRONGEST HISTORICAL RETURNS HAVE BEEN IN THE FIRST QUARST QUARTER SINCE INCOPTION.
BTC’s 50-Week Sma SupportBitcoin’s Price Has Droped by 5% This Week, Consistent with The Bearish Technical Signals and Looks Set to Extend Losses to Late August Lows Near $ 107.300. If Bulls Fail to Defend That, The Focus Will Shift to The 200-Day Simple Moving AVERAGE AT $ 104,200.
The Ongoing Price Decline, Combined with Bitcoin’s Historical Pattern of Pecking Approximately 16 to 18 MONTHS After A Halving Event, May Scare Bulls.
However, Such Concerns May Be Premature As Long as Prices Remain Above the 50-Week Simple Moving AVERAGE (SMA). This Moving Average Has Consistentally ACTED AS A SUPPORT Level, Marking The End of Corrective Price Pullbacks Durying The Current Bull Run that Began in Early 2023.
BTC’s Weekly Chart in Candlesticks Format. (TradingView/Coindesk)
Traders, ThereFore, Should Closely Watch the 50-Week Sma, Which Is Currently Positioned AROUND $ 98.900, as A Key Level for Broader Market Direction.
XRP/BTC CompressionXrp, Onthen Called the “US Government Coin” by FIRMS LIKE ARCA, HAS SURGED 32% THIS YEAR. However, Despite this Strong Rally, The Payments-Focused Cryptocurrency Remains Confined Within A Prolonged SidewayS Trading Range Against Bitcoin (Xrp/BTC), Showing LIMITED LIMITED LIMITED LIMITED.
The XRP/BTC Pair has been confined with a Narrow Trading Range Since Early 2021, Resulting in Over Four Years of Low-Volting Compression.
Prolonged Range Play in XRP/BTC. (TradingView/Coindesk)
Recent Price Action Near the Upper Boundary of this Channel Suggests that Bulls Are Gradually Gaining Control. A Breakout from Such A Prolonged Consolidation Could Trigger A Powerful Rally in XRP Relative to Btc, as the Accuumulated Energy from this Squeezeze is Released.
Now, Let’s Turn to Charts That Call For Caution.
Breakout in defiance Daily Target 2x Short Mstr etf (Smst)The Leverged Anti-Strategy Etf (Smst), WHICH SEEKS to DELIVER DAILY INVESTMENT REASULTS THAT Are -200%, or minus 2x, the Daily Percentage Change in Bitcoin-Hold. Bullish Signals.
The etf’s price climbed to a five-month of High of $ 35.65, Forming What Appears to Be An Inverse Head-Aand-Shoulders Pattern, Characterized by a Prominent Trough (The Head) Flas. Equal Troughs (The Shoulders).
Defiance Daily Target 2x Short Mstr ETF (SMST). (TradingView/Coindesk)
This Pattern offen Signals a potential Bullish Reversal, Suggesting The Etf May Be Gearing Up for A Significant Upward Move.
In Other Words, It’s Flashing A Bearish Signal for Both BTC and Strategy, Which Is The Largest Publicly Listed BTC Holder with A Coin Stash of 639.835 BTC.
Dollar Index’s Double BottomLast Week, I Discussed The Dollar’s Post-Fed Rate Cut Resilience As A Potential Headwind for Risk Assets, Including Cryptocurrencies.
The Dollar Index Has Since Gaished Ground, Establishing A Double Bottom at Ant AUND 96.30. IT’s A SIGN THAT BULLS SUCCESSFULLY ESTABLISHED THE PATH OF LEAST Resistance on the Higher Side.
Dollar Index. (DXY). (Coindesk/TradingView)
A Continued Move Beyond 100.26, The High of the Interim Recovery Between the Twin Bottoms AROUND 96.30, Wound Confirm of the so-Called Double Bottom Breakout, OPENING The DOOR.
Watch Out for the Pattern Failure Below 96.00, As that Could Lead to Increasted Risk-Taking in Financial Markets.
Nvda topping?Nvidia (Nvda), The World’s Largest Listed Company BY Market Value, and A Bellwether for Risk Assets, Continues to Flirt with The Upper End of the 202422424242424242424242 Highs and Lows Hit in August 2024 and April 2025.
Nvda’s Bull Run Has Stalled at Key Resistance. (TradingView/Coindesk)
The Rally Has Stalled at the Upper Trendline Since Late July in A Sign of Bullish Exhaustion. Should It Decline from Here, IT Could Signal The Onset of A Risk-Off Period in Global Markets, Including Cryptocurrencies.
Combined Spot and Derivatives Trading on Centralized Exchanges Surged 7.58% to $ 9.72 Trillion in August, Marking The Highest Monthly Volume of 2025
- Combined Spot and Derivatives Trading on Centralized Exchanges Surged 7.58% to $ 9.72 Trillion in August, Marking The Highest Monthly Volume of 2025
- Gate Exchange Emerged As Major Player With 98.9% Volume Surge to $ 746 Billion, Overtaking Bitget to Become Fourth-Largest Platform
- Open Interest Across Centralized Derivatives Exchanges Rose 4.92% to $ 187 Billion
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A $ 29.1 Million Eth-USD Long Hit Was Indicative of the Growing Role of Decentralized Perpetual Exchange in Driving Liquidations.
- ETHER (ETH) Trade on Hyperliquid Marked The Largest Liquidation in 24 Hours Amid A $ 1.19 Billion Levered Position Wipeout.
- Nearly 90% of Liquidations Were Long Positions, Highlighting Market Bullishness and Affecting Over 260,000 Traders.
- Hyperliquid, A Decentralized Exchange, SAW SIGNFICANT LIQUIDATIONS, INDICATING INCREASED RISK-Taking in Decentralized Markets.
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