Igor Semivolos: War with Iran is the idea of ​​fixt

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The Iran-Israeli conflict again swept the skewer of Teresa of the world order towards another escalation. And this conflict distracts the attention of the world community from the efforts to reach peace in Ukraine. Why this happens, whether the US Iran will attack and how events can continue, Briefly about told Director of the Center for Middle Eastern Studies Igor Semivolos.

The Middle East conflict can only bring chaos and many years of instability

Director of the Middle Eastern Center Studies of Igor Semivolos. Photo: FB Igor Semyyvolos

– How will the conflict between Israel and Iran affect the world order? For example, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyagu assures that the destruction of the Iranian regime will bring stability to the region.

– On the contrary. The heights we are currently seeing in the US administration are just refuting Netanyaga’s assertion. Even in America, not everyone is convinced that such a scenario will bring stability, order and safety. On the contrary, it can bring chaos and many years of instability.

– Trump initially stated that he would make a decision on Iran’s attack in two weeks. Earlier, he often promised to make a decision against Russia in two weeks. What is the sacred term for him?

– It is just the time that Trump can grasp in his mind. He does not think further during this term. Also, the new war that the US can be involved is very popular with Americans. Moreover, Trump himself instilled in them during the election campaign – US soldiers should not fight and die in other people’s wars.

In addition, there is a split in the war with Iran’s war within its Maga group (“Let’s make America big again”). And there are data from US special services that are contrary to Netanyag’s statement regarding the change of the Iranian regime.

– Trump does not want to fight for Ukraine, did not want to fight for Syria, Afghanistan. But he is ready to fight for Israel. Why?

– In a broader sense, the Israeli theme is part of intra -American policy. More than any other. In the US, there is an influential Jewish lobby, and its impact on politics is quite powerful. And it presses on Trump to support Israel and start a war with Iran.

– How can Israel be fighting for several fronts – with Iran, “Hezbola”, Hamas, Hussites? Where does he take the resources for this?

– I think it’s hard for them to do it. But they really have resources, and in addition, they receive much more assistance than Ukraine receives it in the war with Russia. But it is difficult for them.

– How will the conflict between Israel and Iran affect the world order? For example, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyagu assures that the destruction of the Iranian regime will bring stability to the region.

– On the contrary. The heights we are currently seeing in the US administration are just refuting Netanyaga’s assertion. Even in America, not everyone is convinced that such a scenario will bring stability, order and safety. On the contrary, it can bring chaos and many years of instability.

The worst forecast is a great regional war – But despite all they continue to attack Iran …

– Because it is the “idea of ​​Fix” Netanyag, which is aimed at the annexation of the Palestinian territories. And in order to do so, according to Netanyag, it is necessary to get rid of all external enemies, which feed the resistance and do not allow this “idea of ​​fix”. And according to Israeli Prime Minister, Iran is just the external factor that prevents him from fulfilling his goals.

– And what is the situation in the Gaza sector now? Because this topic has come to the background.

– There is the same thing as it has been done for the last one and a half years. Israel continues to attack, attack, kill and the like.

– How will events develop in the future? What is the worst scenario and which is more optimistic?

– The worst scenario is the Great Regional War. Optimistic – concluding an agreement between Americans and Iranians on the coagulation of Tehran nuclear program. There are also risks that other countries can get into this war.

– The US is ready to intervene in this conflict. And other countries? For example, Russia, Turkey?

– They will be determined after the US is determined by their actions.

Israel can ignore US requirements – Is the global war possible because of this conflict?

-When any war begins, nothing can be predicted and predicted in advance.

– Iran expressed his readiness for “flexibility” in the nuclear issue if Washington presses on Israel to end the war. Will Trump press on Netanyag or not?

– He will at least try, but not the fact that Israel will agree. Israel can afford such luxury as ignoring Washington’s position.

– Is it possible to change power in Iran and eliminate Ayatola Khomeini?

– Theoretically, it is possible, but in practice it will be difficult to implement.

– Why does Russia oppose such a scenario?

– Because Iran is their ally, they have signed a cooperation agreement with him, and they do not like this scenario.

– What position does Ukraine take in this conflict?

– We rely on international law. Russia’s attack on Ukraine is interpreted as aggression. And if we support the position of Israel, then we contradict our basic legal position. It was the de facto who attacked Iran.

– And how will this conflict affect Ukraine?

– The war between Israel and Iran diverts the attention of the World Society from assistance to Ukraine. For example, the United States has already sent antitrone systems appointed to Ukraine to Ukraine.

Source: kp.ua