“The Federal Reserve begins Treasury bill purchases later Friday, starting with $8.2 billion as part of its reserve management program.”, — write: www.coindesk.com
The Russell 2000, a gauge of US small-cap equities, posted a record on Thursday, as did measures for bigger companies like the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the S&P 500 Index. The Nasdaq 100 is just below its all-time high and metals, led by silver, are also hitting peaks.
Since 2020, new highs in the Russell 2000 have typically coincided with new highs in bitcoin BTC$92,380.28. This alignment was evident in November 2021, when bitcoin peaked at $69,000. It appeared again in early November 2024, when bitcoin moved above $90,000, and again in mid-October when it surged to $126,000. Both bottomed on Nov. 21.
Milk Road Macro noted on X that smaller, more risky companies are more sensitive to interest-rate changes than large megacap stocks. This sensitivity is particularly important following the Federal Reserve’s 25 basis-point reduction on Wednesday. Expectations for 2026 Russell 2000 earnings-per-share growth are exceptionally strong at around 49%, according to Goldman Sachs.
EPS for Stock Indices (Goldman Sachs)
Meanwhile, another 50 basis points-worth of rate cuts are currently priced into the market for the next 12 months, according to the CME Fed Watch Tool. Those would provide a further boost for riskier assets, like cryptocurrencies.
Fed Starts Treasury Bill BuyingAnother source of liquidity is the start of the Fed’s Treasury-bill purchase program. That begins later Friday, according to ZeroHedge, starting with $8.2 billion as part of its reserve management program.
The buying is part of a broader $40 billion Treasury bill purchase plan running from Dec. 12 alongside reinvestment of maturing agency securities, signaling a renewed liquidity injection into money markets.
- As of October 2025, GoPlus has generated $4.7M in total revenue across its product lines. The GoPlus App is the primary revenue driver, contributing $2.5M (approx. 53%), followed by the SafeToken Protocol at $1.7M.
- GoPlus Intelligence’s Token Security API averaged 717 million monthly calls year-to-date in 2025, with a peak of nearly 1 billion calls in February 2025. Total blockchain-level requests, including transaction simulations, averaged an additional 350 million per month.
- Since its January 2025 launch, the $GPS token has registered over $5B in total spot volume and $10B in derivatives volume in 2025. Monthly spot volume peaked in March 2025 at over $1.1B, while derivatives volume peaked the same month at over $4B.
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Bitcoin remains trapped in a range despite the US rate cut, while altcoins and memecoins struggle to attract risk appetite amid shifting investor behavior.
- BTC briefly dipped below $90,000 after Wednesday’s 25 basis-point US rate cut before rebounding, but price action lacked a clear fundamental catalyst.
- Tokens such as JUP, KAS and QNT posted double-digit weekly losses, while CoinMarketCap’s altcoin season index fell to a cycle low of 16/100.
- CoinDesk’s Memecoin Index is down 59% year-to-date versus a 7.3% decline in the CD10, highlighting a shift from retail-driven hype to more institutionally led, slower-moving markets.
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