Dogecoin Breakdown Deepens, $0.18 Support Snaps as Whales Offload 440M Tokens

Dogecoin Breakdown Deepens, $0.18 Support Snaps as Whales Offload 440M TokensAnalysts warn that sustained trading below $0.18 could lead to a drop toward $0.07, while defending this level might spark a recovery.Updated Nov 3, 2025, 11:20 am Published Nov 3, 2025, 11:19 am

(CoinDesk Data)

Dogecoin broke below the key $0.18 level Tuesday as whale distribution accelerated, diverging sharply from broader market strength. The meme coin slid 1.3% to $0.1740 while Bitcoin and major altcoins posted gains, confirming that institutional flows — not market sentiment — are dictating DOGE’s trajectory.

News Background

• DOGE fell from $0.1855 to $0.1740 across Tuesday’s 24-hour session, extending its underperformance against the CD5 index by more than 2%.
• The breakdown accelerated at 03:00 UTC as volume spiked to 1.10 billion tokens — 183% above the 24-hour average — triggering a clean breach of the $0.18 support zone.
• Resistance hardened near $0.1870, with three failed recovery attempts throughout the day.
• On-chain data from Santiment confirmed that wallets holding between 10 million and 100 million DOGE collectively dumped 440 million tokens over 72 hours, reducing their supply share from 15.51% to 15.15%.
• This represents one of the largest mid-tier whale liquidations in recent months.

Price Action Summary

• DOGE’s decline unfolded through consecutive distribution phases, each accompanied by high-volume spikes.
• The initial breakdown through $0.18 triggered a liquidation cascade towards session lows at $0.1755 before short-term buyers stabilized prices near $0.1740.
• The trading range of $0.0135 — roughly 7.3% intraday volatility — reflected institutional repositioning rather than panic selling.
• Analysts said the pattern suggests structural rotation rather than broad capitulation, but market breadth continues to deteriorate as the token detaches from the broader uptrend.

Technical Analysis

• Technically, DOGE sits at a binary inflection point. The $0.18 level represents both a structural pivot and the lower boundary of the prevailing ascending channel dating back to mid-August.
• Maintaining this support could open a recovery path toward $0.26–$0.33, but a confirmed failure risks acceleration toward the $0.07 accumulation cluster, where roughly 18.6% of total supply (28.3B DOGE) was last transacted.
• Meanwhile, resistance at $0.1870-$0.1900 remains intact following repeated rejections.
• The steep volume surge on the breakdown, combined with declining open interest, reinforces the view that leveraged positions were flushed while spot sellers continued off-loading.

What Traders Should Know

• Dogecoin’s near-term outlook hinges on whether bulls can defend the $0.18 channel base.
• Analyst Ali Martinez noted that “DOGE’s fate could hinge on this level—failure risks a drop toward $0.07, while defense could ignite a recovery to $0.26 or higher.”
• With whale activity easing into the close and distribution metrics plateauing, short-term stabilization remains possible.
• However, traders warn that sustained price action below $0.18 would confirm a structural breakdown, invalidating the medium-term bullish thesis that dominated October flows.

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