“Bitcoin pushed back above $92,000 during Monday’s Asia session as traders priced in a likely Federal Reserve rate cut this week; altcoins continued to lag.”, — write: www.coindesk.com
Bitcoin reclaims $92,000 as Fed rate-cut looms (Shutterstock)
- BTC climbed above $92,000, reversing Friday’s sell-off and approaching the $94,200 level as US equity index futures also ticked higher.
- The “altcoin season” indicator hit a record-low 19/100, with CD80 significantly underperforming the CD20 as speculative interest remains suppressed.
- Privacy coins continue to outperform. Zcash surged 17% and is up 600% this year while memecoins, metaverse tokens and Celestia’s TIA remain among the year’s weakest performers.
The largest cryptocurrency has now reversed Friday’s sell-off and is within striking distance of last week’s high of $94,200.
US equity index futures also posted a gain from Sunday evening’s open, rising by around 0.2% as the market anticipated a Federal Reserve interest-rate cut on Wednesday, with the probability of a 25 basis point cut standing at around 87%, according to CME data.
While bitcoin and ether ETH$3,140.38 are up 3%-4% over the past 24 hours, the altcoin market remains weak with a lack of speculative catalysts driving the action.
Derivatives positioning
- BTC’s 30-day implied volatility index, BVIV, is holding steady at around 50%, showing no signs of panic ahead of the impending Fed decision.
- ASTER and ENA lead open interest growth in futures tied to the major tokens.
- Perpetual funding rates for major tokens, including BTC and ETH, continue to be positive, indicating a bias for bullish leveraged bets.
- The positive bias, however, could be in part due to the unwinding of the cash and carry arbitrage’s short futures legs.
- On Deribit, bitcoin and ether puts continue to trade pricier than calls in a sign of lingering downside fears.
- In BTC’s case, the $20K put is the second most popular option bet in the June 2026 expiration options.
- Block flows featured demand for BTC call spreads and strangles. In ETH’s case, call calendar spreads have dominated the 24-hour flow.
Token talk
- The “altcoin season” indicator slumped to a record low of 19/100 on Monday, highlighting how investors are refusing to speculate on the tokens other than the market leaders following a grueling sell-off over the past few months.
- This behavior is also demonstrated by comparing the CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index with the CoinDesk 80 (CD80), the latter of which includes a wider basket of altcoins.
- The CD20 has risen 1.34% since Dec. 1 while the CD80 lost 1.37%.
- The memecoin and metaverse indexes are the worst performing sectors of the year, down by 53% and 62%, respectively. It appears the market has moved on from viral memes and cartoon character non-fungible tokens (NFTs).
- One sector that continues to perform well is privacy coins, zcash ZEC$386.02 gained the most out of the top 100 crypto tokens over the past 24 hours, rising by 17% to compound a 600% year-to-date rally.
- The same cannot be said for TIA$0.5937the native token of its namesake’s data availability blockchain that has lost more than 87% of its value this year following a lack of activity and a recent round of layoffs.
- As of October 2025, GoPlus has generated $4.7M in total revenue across its product lines. The GoPlus App is the primary revenue driver, contributing $2.5M (approx. 53%), followed by the SafeToken Protocol at $1.7M.
- GoPlus Intelligence’s Token Security API averaged 717 million monthly calls year-to-date in 2025, with a peak of nearly 1 billion calls in February 2025. Total blockchain-level requests, including transaction simulations, averaged an additional 350 million per month.
- Since its January 2025 launch, the $GPS token has registered over $5B in total spot volume and $10B in derivatives volume in 2025. Monthly spot volume peaked in March 2025 at over $1.1B, while derivatives volume peaked the same month at over $4B.
View Full Report
Bitcoin enters the Abu Dhabi conference near $92K after a year of sell-the-news dips at major events, raising questions about another potential pullback.
- Bitcoin enters the MENA 2025 conference around $92K, with traders watching for another event-linked correction.
- All four major bitcoin conferences this year — Las Vegas, Prague, Hong Kong and Amsterdam — coincided with short-term price drops.
- The bitcoin conference in Abu Dhabi arrives this week with bitcoin over $92,000, raising the possibility of another sell the news move.
Read full story
