“Your day-ahead look for april 15, 2025”, – WRITE: www.coindesk.com


Bitcoin (BTC) Continues to defy Global Economic Uncertainty, Inching Closer to Reclaiming $ 86,000. IT is now less 3% Away from it “liberation day” High. To put the Move Into Perspective, Bitcoin Dominance – WHICH MEASURES BTC’s Share of the Total Cryptocurrency Market Cap – is Approaching 64%, A Level Not Seen Since January.
In Contrast, The Nasdaq 100 is Still 5% Away from It Own Liberation Day High, UndersCoring Bitcoin’s Relative Strengt Versus US Equities.
Account to x Account Cchedar Flow, The S&P 500 HAS JUST FORMED A “DEOTH Cross”-A Traditionally Bearish Signal That Occurs Who The 50-Day Moving AVERAGE FALLS BELOW. The Last Time This Happy Was March 15, 2022, WHEN S&P 500 INITIALLY ROSE BY 11% IN THE FOLLOWING Week, Only to Be Followed by a 20% Declin. Bearish Sentiment Is Also Reflected in the Options Market, Whore Investors Are Reportedly Buying Large Volumes of NVDA Puts, Signling Expectations of Lower Prices.
In a bloomberg interview on monday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent ReaffirMed Confidentnce in the US Bond Market, Dismissing Concerns that Foreign Nations Dumping Treasuries.
“I Am Not Seeing A Dumping of US Treasuries,” Bessent SAID. “The Treasury Has Lots of Tools, But We’re A Long Way from Needing Them.” He also irphasized the endinging status of the US Dollar as the World’s Reserve Currency, Daspite The DXY INDEX – WHICH MEASures The Dollar’s Value Aging of Aging of Maas. 10% in recent weeks.
Bessent ALSO CONFIRMED THAT ADMINISTRATION IS SEEKING A NEW FEDERAL Reserve Chair To Replace Jerome Powell, with Interviews Set to Begin Later in the Year. He Concluded the Interview by Suggesting that VIX (S&P 500 Volatility Index) May Have Peaked After The Largest One-Day Percentage Drop in Itory Last Week. Stay Alert!
What to Watch
- Crypto:
- April 15: The FIRST SMARDEX (SDEX) Halving Means the Sdex Token’s Distribution Will Be Cut by 50% for the Next 12 MONTS.
- April 16: Hashkey Chain (HSK) Mainnet Upgrade Enhances Network Stability and Fee Control Capabilities.
- April 17: Eigenlayer (Eigen) Activates Slashing on Ethereum Mainnet, Enforcing Penalties for Operator Misconduct.
- April 18: Pepcoin (PEP), A Layer-1, Proof-of-Work Blockchain, Undergoes Ists Second Halning, Reducing Block Rewards To 15.625 Pep Per Block.
- April 20, 11 PM: BNB Chain (BNB) – OPBNB Mainnet HardFork.
- April 21: Coinbase Derivatives Will List Xrp Futures PENDING APPROVAL By The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
- Macro
- April 15, 8:30 AM: Statistics Canada Releases March Consumer Price Inflation Data.
- Core Inflation Rate Mom Prev. 0.7%
- Core Inflation Rate Yoy Prev. 2.7%
- Inflation Rate Mom Est. 0.6% Vs. Prev. 1.1%
- Inflation Rate Yoy Est. 2.6% Vs. Prev. 2.6%
- April 16, 8:30 AM: The US Census Bureau Releases March Retail Sales Data.
- Retail Sales Mom Est. 1.4% Vs. Prev. 0.2%
- Retail Sales yoy prev. 3.1%
- April 16, 9:45 AM: Bank of Canada Release ITS Latest Interest Rate Decision, Followed by a Press Conference 45 Minutes Later.
- Policy Interest Rate Est. 2.75% Vs. Prev. 2.75%
- April 16, 1:30 PM: Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell Will Deliver An “Economic Outlook” Speech. LIVESTREAM LINK.
- April 17, 8:30 AM: US Census Bureau Releases March New Residential Construction DATA.
- Housing Starts Est. 1.42m Vs. Prev. 1.501m
- Housing Starts Mom Prev. 11.2%
- April 17, 8:30 AM: The US Department of Labor Releases Unemployment Insurance Data for the Week Ended April 12.
- Initial Jobless Claims Est. 226k Vs. Prev. 223k
- April 17, 7:30 PM: Japan’s Ministry of International Affairs & Communications Releases March Consumer Price Index (CPI) DATA.
- Core Inflation Rate Yoy Est. 3.2% Vs. Prev. 3%
- Inflation Rate Mom Prev. -0.1%
- Inflation Rate Yoy Prev. 3.7%
- April 15, 8:30 AM: Statistics Canada Releases March Consumer Price Inflation Data.
- Earnings (Estimates Based On Factor Data)
- April 22: Tesla (Tsla), Post-Market
- April 30: Robinhood Markets (Hood), Post-Market
TKEN EVENTS
- Governance Votes & Calls
- Venus Dao Is Discussing The Forced Liquidation of the Remaining Debt Owed By A Bnb Bridge Exploiter Accounta What “Supplied Extraneously Minted Bnb to Venus and Genebeted Annerated An.
- Aave Dao Is Discussing Taking Further Steps to Deprecate Synthetix’s Susd on Aave v3 Optimism Over Technical Developments that have “Compromiseed ITS ABITY.
- GMX Dao Is Discussing The Establishment of A GMX Reserve on Solana, Which Wound Involve Bridging $ 500,000 in GMX to the Blockchain and Transfering the Funds to the GMX-SOLANA.
- Treasure Dao Is Discussing Handing the Core Contributor Team the Authority to Wind Down and Close Treasure Chain Infrastructure on Zksync and Manage The Primary Magic-How-How Crucial Financial Sity of the Protocol.
- April 15, 10 AM: Injective to Hold an X Spaces Session with Guardian.
- April 16, 7 Am: Aergo to Host an ask Me Anything (Ama) Session on the Future of Decentralized Artificial Intelligence and the Project.
- April 16, 3 PM: Zcash to Host a Town Hall on LockBox Distribution & Governance.
- Unlocks
- April 15: SEI (SEI) TO UNLOCK 1.09% OF ITS Circulating Supple Worth $ 10.08 Million.
- April 16: arbitrum (arb) to unlock 2.01% of it Circulating Supple Worth $ 27.17 Million.
- April 18: Official Trump (Trump) to Unlock 20.25% of ITS Circulating Suppply Worth $ 325.97 Million.
- April 18: Fasttoken (FTN) to Unlock 4.65% Of ITS Circulating Suppply Worth $ 82.60 Million.
- April 18: UXLINK (UXLINK) TO UNLOCK 11.09% of Its Circulating Suppply Worth $ 18.29 Million.
- April 18: Immutable (IMX) to Unlock 1.37% of Its Circulating Suppply Worth $ 10.07 Million.
- TKEN LAUNCHES
- April 15: Walletconnect Token (WCT) to be listed on binance, Bitget, Ascendex, Bingx, Bydfi, Lbank, Coinlist and others.
- April 16: Badger (Badger), Balacner (Bal), Beta Finance (Beta), Cortex (CTXC), Cream Finance, Cream), Firo (Firo), Kava Lend (KAVA), NULS (NULS) (Troy), Unilend Finance (UFT), Vidt Dao (Vidt) and ALF (Elf) to Be Delisted from Binance.
- April 22: Hyperlane to Airdrop It Hyper Tokens.
Conferences:
- Day 2 of 3: Morocco Web3Fest Gitex Edition (Marrakech)
- April 15: Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Summit (Online)
- Day 1 of 2: Buidl Asia 2025 (Seoul)
- Day 1 of 2: World Financial Innovation Series 2025 (Hanoi, Vietnam)
- Day 1 of 3: Nextech Week Tokyo
- April 22-24: Money20/20 Asia (Bangkok)
- April 23: Crypto Horizons 2025 (Dubai)
- April 23-24: Blockchain Forum 2025 (Moscow)
Token TalkBy shaurya malwa
- Story Protocol’s IP Tokens ExperienCed A 20% Drop and Recovery Within Hours Durying An Unusual Trading SESSION ON MONDAY.
- Trading Volume Surged on Exchanges Including Binance and Okx Spot, with $ 138 Million Recorded After The Price Rebound.
- The Sudden Price Movement Was isolated from Broader Market Trends, Sparking SPECULATION ABOUT INSIDER ACTIVITY OR CODINATED SELLING.
- Also On Monday, Mantra’s OM Token PlumMeted Over 90% in Hours, Droping from AROUND $ 6.30 to AS LOW AS 37 CENTS AND WIPING Over $ 5 Billion in Market Capitalization.
- The Token Has Since Rebounded Slightly to Trade AUND 63 CENTS.
- Laser Digital, A Nomura-Backed Investor, Was Initial Flanged for Depositing $ 41 Million in OM to OKX, But The Company Denied Selling, Clarifying It Was Collaterial Fin. Shorooq Investors Also Denied Selling.
Derivatives Positioning
- BTC SHORTS HAVE BEEN LIQUIDATED ON MOST EXCHANGES IN THE PAST 24 HOURS, Excluding BitMex and Gate.io, Accounting Coinglass. The Opposite is the Case in Eth.
- Xrp’s Perpetual Futures Open Interest Has Droped from 544.7 Million Xrp to 480 Million Xrp, Divering from The Price Recovery Seen Since Monday Last Week.
- Sui, Ondo, Ada and Apt Have Seen A Notable Increase in Futures Open Interest in the Past 24 Hours. Of Those, XMR is the only One with the Positive Oi-Adjuged Cumulative Volume Delta, Representation Net Buying Pressure.
- On Deribit, Short-Dated BTC and Eth Options Continue to Show a Bias for Protective Puts, Suggesting Cautious Sentiment.
- Flows on Otc Desk Paradigm have been mixed with Both Calls and Puts Bough in the April Expiry.
Market Movements:
- BTC IS UP 1.19% FROM 4 PM ET MONDAY AT $ 85,877.18 (24hrs: +1.35%)
- ETH IS UP 0.59% AT $ 1.645.30 (24Hrs: -1.97%)
- Coindesk 20 IS Up 0.99% AT 2.519.69 (24hrs: +0.19%)
- Ether Cesr Composite Staking Rate Is Up 18 BPS at 3.18%
- BTC FUNDING RATE IS AT 0.0184% (6.7003% Annualized) on Binance
- DXY IS UNCHANGED AT 99.70
- GOLD IS UP 1.26% AT $ 3,245.30/OZ
- Silver is up 0.81% AT $ 32.35/Oz
- Nikkei 225 Closed +0.84% AT 34,267.54
- Hang Seng Closed +0.23% AT 21,466.27
- Ftse is up 0.92% AT 8,209.04
- Euro Stoxx 50 IS Up 0.82% AT 4.951.51
- Djia Closed On Tuesday +0.78% AT 40,524.79
- S&P 500 CLOSED +0.79% AT 5.405.97
- NASDAQ CLOSED +0.64% AT 16,831.48
- S&P/Tsx Composite Index Closed +1.18% AT 23,866.50
- S&P 40 Latin America Closed +1.8% AT 2,340.02
- US 10-YEAR Treasury Rate Is Up 1 Bp At 4.39%
- E-mini S&P 500 Futures Are Up 0.12% AT 5.4447.25
- E-mini NASDAQ-100 Futures Are Up 0.26% AT 18,983.25
- E-mini Dow Jones Industrial AVERAGE INDEX FUTures Are UNCHANGED AT 40,750.00
Bitcoin Stats:
- BTC Dominance: 63.80 (0.16%)
- Ethereum to Bitcoin Ratio: 0.01913 (-0.31%)
- Hashrate (Seven-Day MOVING AVERAGE): 896 eh/s
- HashPrice (Spot): $ 44.1 Ph/S
- Total Fees: 6.33 BTC / $ 536.017
- CME FUTures Open Interest: 134,730
- BTC PRICED IN GOLD: 26.6 OZ
- BTC VS Gold Market Cap: 7.56%
Technical AnalysisBch/btc ratio. (TradingView)
- On Monday, The Bitcoin Cash-Bitcoin (BCH/BTC) Ratio Failed to Penetrate the Trendline Characterizing the 12-Month Bear Market.
- A Potential Move Above the Trendline See Breakout Traders Join The Market, Lifting Bch Higher.
Crypto equities
- Strategy (Mstr): Closed On Monday at $ 311.45 (+3.82%), Up 0.62% AT $ 313.38 In Pre-Market
- Coinbase Global (Coin): CLOSED AT $ 176.58 (+0.62%), UP 1.28% AT $ 178.84
- Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY): CLOSED AT C $ 15.81 (+3.47%)
- Mara Holdings (Mara): CLOSED AT $ 12.95 (+3.52%), UP 1.24% AT $ 13.11
- Riot Platforms (RIOT): CLOSED AT $ 7.01 (-0.71%), Up 0.71% AT $ 7.06
- Core Scientific (Corz): CLOSED AT $ 7.06 (-0.14%)
- Cleanspark (CLSK): CLOSED AT $ 7.78 (+3.73%), UP 1.29% AT $ 7.88
- Coinshares Valkyrie Bitcoin Mines ETF (WGMI): Closed AT $ 12.70 (+1.44%), UP 1.44% AT $ 12.90
- Semler Scientific (SMLR): CLOSED AT $ 34.26 (+1.48%)
- Exodus Movement (Exod) : CLOSED AT $ 39.43 (-10.55%), Unchanged In Pre-Market
ETF FlowsSPOT BTC ETFS:
- Daily Net Flow: $ 1.5 Million
- Cumulative Net Flows: $ 35.46 Billion
- Total BTC Holdings ~ 1.11 Million
Spot eth etfs
- Daily Net Flow: -$ 6 Million
- Cumulative Net Flows: $ 2.28 Billion
- Total Eth Holdings ~ 3.36 Million
Source: Farside Investors
Overnight FlowsChart of the day
Solana Dex Average Transaction FEE, DEX VOLUMES. (Artemis)
- The chart shows the demand for the Solana Network Has Cooled Significantly from the Heady Days of January.
- Both The Dex Volumes and the AVERAGE Transaction FEE HAVE CRAASHED, VALIDATING The Decline in the Sol Token Price.
While You Were Sleeping
- XI Jinning Urges Vietnam to Oppos Donald Trump’s Tariff ‘Bullying’ (Financial Times): In Hanoi, XI Urged Vietnam to Unite Against Protectionism as They Sigened 45 Cooper. His Tour Continues to Malaysia and Cambodia.
- Japanese Bonds Stir Unease As Bitcoin Recovers from Last Week’s Tariff Panic (Coindesk) Renewed Risk Aversion Across Financial Markets.
- Dogecoin Slumps 3%, Bitcoin Steady AROUND $ 85K As Traders Fear Us Recession (Coindesk): Doge Fell 3% While Btc and Eth Held Stedy as Tariff Concens Easted of A US Recession this Year.
- Dex Kilooex Loses $ 7m in Apparent Oracle Manipulation Attack (Coindesk): The Decentralized Exchange Suspended Operations After A Price Oracle Exploit. The Attacker used Tornado Cash to Fund a Wallet and Manipulate Prices Across Base, BNB Chain and Taiko.
- Russia Says It Is Not Easy to Agree Ukraine Peace Deal With Us (Reuters): Russia Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov Reiterated Moscow’s Demand Domand Ukraine Renunn. by Russia.
- Trump’s Trade War Deepens Threat to Us Brands in China (The Wall Street Journal): US Brands Like Apple, Nike and Starbucks Are Lozing GROUND IN CHINA As Patriotic Concies from Tech to Fast Food.
In the Ether
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