Confrontation of India and Pakistan: Why does Indus cause nuclear war

Photo: Gettyimages.com

In Asia, an outdated conflict between India and Pakistan is reopened. On April 23, 2025, India announced the termination of the Indian Waters Agreement signed in 1960 and the regulatory distribution of the India and its tributaries between India and Pakistan. And Pakistan said it would mean the beginning of the war. What is the cause of the conflict, why do these two countries be at odds with and what catastrophe can lead to – in the material Briefly about.

Hinduist or Muslim? The reason for this The exacerbation was the incident on April 22 this year, when 4 terrorists in India near the border with Pakistan in the disputed area of ​​Kashmir were shot dead by 26 tourists, including 25 Indians and one Nepal citizen. Eyewitnesses say that the attackers asked the tourists, they or Muslims – and the Hindus were shot. They gave up only one woman with a young child. Her husband was killed. The responsibility for the terrorist attack was taken in India by a terrorist organization “Front of Resistance”.

The immediate reason for the terrorist attack of the Front resistance called the Indian authorities the permits for the construction of a housing in Kashmir for 80 with more than thousands of people. It is expected that these will be displaced persons from other parts of India, mostly Hindu. Therefore, the demographic composition of the disputed region will change.

The case reached the shooting again Prime Minister Nandera Modi convened an urgent meeting after which the India government accused Pakistan of this terrorist attack without providing, however, no evidence. The consequence was the deterioration of Indian-Pakistan diplomatic relations and cooperation with Pakistan: the number of embassies and diplomats was reduced, the issuance of visas to the Pakistanis was suspended and already released. The only land check checkpoint scales was also closed.

The India government has decided to suspend the Indus Water Agreement, signed between the two countries in 1960, which indicates that the waters of rivers that originate in Kashmir must be distributed equally between India and Pakistan.

Following the deterioration of the diploma by India, the Pakistan government took mirror measures. Pakistan’s airspace was closed by all Indian airlines. All trade between the two countries is terminated. On April 25, the Armed Forces of India announced the shelling of their border posts by Pakistan: the attack occurred in the area of ​​control of Jamma and Kashmir. The Indian forces opened a fire in response.

Indus is a river, called India and Pakistan’s main waterway. Photo: wikimedia.org

This time the cause of war can be… water The great dissatisfaction with Pakistan’s government has caused India’s desire to block the India. The fact is that the origins of five of the six rivers of the Indu system are in India, but the main water intake is carried out by Pakistan. The stability of water supply depends on the agriculture and energy of Pakistan.

In 1960, an agreement was concluded, according to which India has the right to use the waters of the three eastern rivers of the Indus system to the Pakistani border, and Pakistan uses three western rivers. India did not violate the contract in any of the conflicts with Pakistan and now suspended its action.

India’s Foreign Minister, Wikram Mr. Mr. said that the agreement had been suspended until “Pakistan will reliably and irrevocably refuse to support cross -border terrorism.”

Pakistan stated that the stopping or drainage of water in the rivers Jelum, Chenab, Ravi, Beas and Satledz, owned by Pakistan in accordance with the Indus Water Agreement, would be considered as an act of war. This reaction of the government is due to the fact that the Indus River is for Pakistan residents the main source of water, which allows to irrigate 12 million hectares of land. If water flows become volatile, Pakistan agriculture may be at risk, especially the crop, such as wheat, rice and sugar cane.

The probability of nuclear war In an interview with Sky News, the Minister of Defense of Pakistan Havadja said that recent events could lead to a total war between Pakistan and India. He stressed that the world should “concern” the prospect of a full -scale conflict between nuclear weapons.

According to experts, India now has 90-110 nuclear charges in the ammunition, as well as a certain number of ready-made components sufficient for the production of 50-90 nuclear warheads.

Pakistan has a nuclear arsenal in the world after the Nuclear Club and Israel members: the number of nuclear warheads, according to different experts, ranges from 60 to 150.

Experts from the analytical organization Council on Strtegic Risks have come to a disappointing conclusion that India and Pakistan’s nuclear war will lead to catastrophic consequences not only for the region but the entire planet. According to them, it can take a life of 50 to 125 million people. And it feels the whole planet: the primary productivity (the ability of nature to provide life: growing crops, reproduction of fish in the ocean, etc.) will fall by 15-30% on land and 5-15% in the oceans. This, according to researchers, can threaten global hunger and a number of other problems for the planet.

Note by conspiracynologists: Vice president of the United States Vice Vice President came to India. Photo: FB Narendra Modi

From the history of the question

Enmity that has been almost 80 years old The main reason for the confrontation between India and Pakistan is the ancient dispute over Kashmir, which has already led to several armed conflicts. The region is dominated by the Muslim population, but the ruling top consists of Hindus. The conflict around Kashmir has been going on since 1947, that is, from the moment of the UK’s refusal of its rights to British India, since its collapse into two states – India and Pakistan.

At that time, this region was ruled by Maharaj-Industist, but 77% of his subjects were Muslims. In several districts of the principality, an uprising against Maharaja broke out. The militia of the Pashtun tribes from Pakistan and then the Pakistani volunteers invaded the principality to help the Muslims who rebelled.

On October 24, 1947, the territory occupied by them was proclaimed the creation of a sovereign cell of Azad-Kashimir (“Free Kashmir”) and the entry of the entire principality into Pakistan. IN The response to this Maharaja-Industist declared Kashmir’s accession to India and appealed to the Indian government for military aids.

The Pakistani leadership began to demand a referendum in Kashmir on its accession to Pakistan, and India was against it. Since then, continuous disputes of the two countries for this region – who owns Kashmir? Over the past 10 years, 30,000 people from both countries have been killed in these conflicts.

Help briefly about

Indus River

Length: About 3180 km (for comparison the length of the Dnieper is about 2200 km)

TIBT: Tibet Mountains, in China, near Lake Manasarovar

Proceeds through: China (Tibet), India (Ladakh), Pakistan

It flows into the Arabian Sea, forming a delta in the area of ​​Karachi (Pakistan).

The main source of water supply and irrigation for Pakistan: more than 80% of the country’s agriculture depends on the Indus.

It is a cultural symbol: the name of the river comes from the name of the country – India.

What do the world media Reuters write

– Mutual statements have led to the fact that the relationship between nuclear neighbors, who waged three wars, have reached the lowest level in recent years.

Associated Press

– India and Pakistan manage part of Kashmir, but both claim the whole territory. New Delhi describes all the militancy in Kashmir as supported by Pakistan terrorism. Pakistan denies this, and many Muslims Kashmir believe that militants are part of a homegrown struggle for freedom.

Deutsche Welle

– The United Nations called on India and Pakistan for “maximum restraint” in connection with a deadly shooting in Kashmir, which took place last week.

The Guardian

– Relationships have fallen to the lowest level in recent years: India has accused Pakistan of supporting “cross -border terrorism” after militants have made the most terrible attack on civilians in a controversial Kashmir, where the majority of the population constitute Muslims.

Source: kp.ua