“Could A Centuries-Eld Seasonal Market Pattern Be a Sign of Further Losses? Bitcoin’s FIVE-YEAR PERFORANCE LEANS TOWARD “YES.””, – WRITE: www.coindesk.com
“Historically, The Next Couple of MONTHS HAVE BEEN Weak for Financial Markets, with Many Investors Abringing by the Sell in May and Walk Away Adage,“ Jeff Mei, Coo at BTSE, TOPSE, TOPSE.
“That being said, markets have significantly underforomered over the last few months, but this year could buck the Trend, with Bitcoin Hitting $ 97k and Other Growth Stocks. WEEK’s WEAK GDP Numbers Coming Out of the Us Indicate Some Risk, As Another Report of Negative GDP Growp Growth Next Quarter Wuld Indicate A Recession, But Rate Cuts Could LEAD LEAD TOD.
The Adage “Sell in May and Go Away” is a long-Standing Season Saying in Traditional Financial Markets.
It Suggests That Investors Should Sell Their Holdings at The Beginning of May and Return to The Market ARUNOES Reduced Institutional Activity, and Historical Returns Data.
The Phrase Dates Back to the Early Days of London Stock Exchange and Was Originally “Sell in May and Go Away, Come Back On St. Leger’s Day,” Reference A Mid-Septeber Horse Race.
What Data ShowsHistorically, US Stock Markets Have Shown Weaker Performance from May Through October Thran from November Through April, Leading to The Strategy Become
Bitcoin Also Shows Recurring Seasonal Patterns, Onthen InfluenCed by Macro Cycles, Institutional Flows, and Retail Sentiment. Coinglass Data Show The Asset’s May Performance Has Been Negative or Muted Recently.
In 2021, BTC dropped 35%, one of itts worst months that year. In 2022, May Was Again Negative, With A 15% Drop Amid Luna’s Collaps. In 2023, BTC Was Flat to Mildly Positive, Reflection Muted Valativity.Btc Poped Up 11% Last May and Ended May 2019 Up 52% - A Standout Performance From all months Following Generally Thought to have matured after that year’s altcoin Cycle.
Red May MONHS Are Followed by More Declines in June, The Data Shows, with Four of the Past Five June Months Ending in Red.
(Coinglass)
These patterns don’t gurantee future performance, they suggest that crypto markets may be increating Space.
Sign of Caution?Traders May Grow Cautiouos Based on Historical Price Seasonality and Fading Momentum After Strong Q1 Rallies. Altcoins, Especialally Meme Coins, May Be Particularly Vulneral to PullBacks, Given Their Recent Hype-Driven Rallies and Special Flows.
“SINCE 1950, The S&P 500 HAS DELIVED AVERAGE GAIN OF JUST 1.8% from May Through October, with Positive Returns in About 65 November Through April, ”Vugar Usi Zade, Coo at Crypto Exchange Bitget, Told Coindesk in A Telegram Message.
Over The Past 12 Years, AVERAGE Q2 Returns (April-June) for Btc Have Stood at 26%, But With A Median of Only 7.5%-A Sign of Outlier-Driven.
By Q3 (July-September), The AVERAGE Return Drops to 6%, and the Median Turns Slightly Negative, Suggesting A Pattern of Post-Q2 Fatigue or Consolidation, Zade Adeded, City.
“This Seasonality Overlap Suggests Caution Heading Into May. Historically, Q4 Marks Bitcoin’s Strongest Seasonal Period, with An Average Return of +85.4 Deliver More Muted or Negative Outcomes, “Zade Said.
In short, while Wall Street Calendars Don’t bind Crypto, Market Psychology Still Responds to Narratives, and “Sell in May” Could BCOME ALELF-FULFILING PROPECY-ESPECY-Self-Fulfilling. Crack and Sentiment Flips.
Shaurya Holds Over $ 1,000 in Btc, Eth, Sol, Avax, Sushi, Crv, Near, YFI, YFI, SHIB, DOGE, USDT, USDC, BNB, MANA, MLN, LINK, XMR, ALGO, CAKE, Vet, Vet, Vet RUNE, FTM, ZIL, KSM, ENJ, CKB, JOE, GHST, PERP, BTRFLY, OHM, Banana, Rome, Burger, Spirit, and ORCA.
He Provides Over $ 1,000 to Liquidity Pools on Compound, Curve, Sushiswap, Pancakeswap, Burgerswap, Orca, AnaSwap, Spiritswap, Roki Protocol, Yearn Finance Olympusdao, Rome, Trader Joe, and Sun.
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