Bitcoin Fails to Hold $ 116k As Ogs Rotate Into Ether: Crypto Daybook Americas

Your day-ahead look for sept. 15, 2025 Sep 15, 2025, 11:15 AM

By Omkar Godbole (All Times et Unless Indicated OtherWise)

The Crypto Market Has Stalled Since Saturday, with Bitcoin BTC$ 115.103.22 Once Again Failing to Keep Gains Above $ 116,000 Alongside Continued Selling by Wallets of Early Adopters, or Ogs.

Accorging to Blockchain Analyst Lookonchain, on Sunday An Eight-YEAR BTC HOLDER MOVED 1,176 BTC WORTH Over $ 136 Million to Hyperliquid and Started Dumping. This Holder Is Known to Have Excanded 35,991 BTC FOR 886,731 ETH IN RECENT MONHS.

Other Long-Term Holders Have Also Been Been Liquidating Coins in Recent MONHS as the Market Continues to Adjust to A Six-Figure Price As The New Normal for Btc.

But The Latest Selling Is Not Just Limited to Long-Term Holders. On-Chain Data Trained by Glassnode Showed That Wallets of All Sizes Are Back to Distributing Coins.

In Ether’s Case, WHALE WALLETS Continue to Scale Exposure, Suggesting Ether OutperForContance Relative to Bitcoin. The Ether-Bitcoin Ratione on Binance, However, Fell for a Third Consuctive Day, Unable to Capitalize on the Descending Trendline Breakout ConfirMed on Friday.

MEMECOins, The Recent Outperformers, Have Also Come Under Pressure, with Top Tokens, Dog and SHIB, LOSING 10% AND 6%, REASECTIVELY, Over The Past 24 Hours.

Solana’s Native Token Sol Traded Over 2% Lower AT $ 234 Despite Key Industry Participants Taking Steps to Accelerate the Adoption of Solana-Native Dencalized Finance (Defi).

Kyle Samani, Chairman of Nasdaq-Lited Solana Treasury Company Forward Industries, SAID on X that Company Plans to Deploy Funds Into the Solana-Based Defi Protocols. Last Week, Forward Raised $ 1.65 Billion in A Private Placement Led by Multicoin Capital, Galaxy Digital and Jump Crypto.

SAMANI WAS RESPONDING TO AN IDEA RAISED by a Crypto Trader, ANSEM, Who Called for Corporate Treasury Funds to Invest in Solana-Based Defi to Boost The Network’s Defi Appa. Ethereum.

In Traditional Markets, Investor Positioning in The S&P 500 Looked Totally Biased Bullish. “Sentiment is at extremes. Careful Out there,” Pseudonymous Observer the Short Bear Said on X. Stay Alert!

What to Watch

• Crypto
  • None screduled.
• Macro
  • None screduled.
• Earnings (Estimates Based On Factor Data)
  • None screduled.

TKEN EVENTS

• Governance Votes & Calls
  • Curve Dao Is Voting to Update Donation-Anabled TwoCrypto Contracts, Refining Donation Vesting So Unlocked Pocations Persist After Burns. Voting Ends Sept. 16.
• Unlocks
  • Sept. 15: Starknet (Strk) to Unlock 5.98% of It Circulating Supple Worth $ 17.09 Million.
  • Sept. 15: Sei Sei$ 0.3192 To Unlock 1.18% of Its Circulating Supple Worth $ 18.06 Million.
• TKEN LAUNCHES
  • Sept. 15: OpenLedger (OpenDger) to be listed on crypto.com.

Conferences

• Day 4 of 4: EthTokyo 2025
• Day 1 of 7: Budapest Blockchain Week 2025
• Sept. 15: Tge Summit 2025 (New York)

Token TalkBy oliver Knight

• Monero’s Blockchain Suffired ITS DEEPEST -ing REORG on Monday, Rolling Back 18 Blocks.
• A Blockchain Reorganization, Or Reorg, Happens Who Nodes Abandon Part of the Existation Chain To Follow a Longer One With More Proof-of-Work. The Shift Occurs Durying A Tempoury Fork, WHEN Two Versions of the Chain Compete.
• Monero’s XMR Token Remired Unperturged Durying the Porcess; Rellying by 5% despite the attack by qubic, A Layer-1 AI-Focused Blockchain and Mining Pool that Attempted to Take Over the Monero Blockchain by Amassing 51% of The Mining Power Last Mont.
• The Event Rewrote Roughly 36 Minutes of Transaction History and Invalidated About 118 CONFIRMED Transactions, Prompting Concerns About the Security of The Network.
• Crypto Podcaster Xenu claimed that Qubic’s Reorg Was an Attempt to “STOP The BLEEDING” of XMR’S PRICE AFTER IT TUMBLED FROM $ 344 to $ 235 Durying The Initial 51% Attack in August.
• XMR Currently Trades at $ 304 HAVING BRUSHED ASIDE NEGATIVE SENTIMENT WITIM Daily Trading Volume Rising by 78% to $ 136 Million.

Derivatives Positioningby Omkar Godbole

• The Top 25 Coins have ExperienCed A Decline In Futures Open Interest (Oi) Over The Past 24 Hours, with Meecoins, Such As Dog, Pepe And FartCoin, Registering Doubble-Digit This Contrasts with The Pre-Fed Bounnce Being Seen in a Most Tokens.
• BTC’s Global Futures Oi Tally Has Pulled Back to 720k BTC from the Near-Record High of 744k BTC Last Week. Total Market-Wide Oi Has Pulled Back to $ 90 Billion from $ 95 Billion Over The Weekend.
• Eth’s Tally Grew to Over 14 Million Ether from Rouge 13.2 Million Ether Early This Month, Indicating Renewed Capital Inflows. However, This Does Not Necessarily Indicate Bullish Positioning, As The Oi-Normalized Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) for Eth Has Been Negative For The Past 24 Hours. That’s a sign of net selling pressure.
• MOST major tokens have seen a non
• Activity in the CME-LITTED FUTures Looks to be Picking up the pace, with oi bouncing to 141.69k btc from the Multimon Low of 133.25k BTC Early this Week. The Annualized Rate on A Three-Month Basis Remains Bevel 10%, Extending the Consolidation. Eth’s CME OI REMAINS BLOW 2 Million Ether.
• On Deribit, Put Bias In BTC and Eth Has Eased Significantly Account All Tenors As Markets Anticipate Fed Rate Cuts in the Coming Months. The IMPLIED VALLATITY TERM STRUCTURE REMAINS IN CONTANGO, with December Expiry Expired to Be More Valatile.

Market Movements

• BTC IS DOWN 1.1% FROM 4 PM ET FRIDAY AT $ 114,933.52 (24hrs: -1%)
• ETH IS DOWN 3.1% AT $ 4,528.04 (24hrs: -3.22%)
• Coindesk 20 is Down 2.73% AT 4.245.39 (24hrs: -3.35%)
• Ether Cesr Composite Staking Rate Is Down 2 BPS at 2.82%
• BTC FUNDING RATE IS AT 0.0081% (8.829% Annualized) On Binance

• DXY IS UNCHANGED AT 97.48
• Gold Futures Are Down 0.29% AT $ 3.675.80
• Silver Futures Are Down 0.56% AT $ 42.59
• Nikkei 225 CLOSED UP 0.89% AT 44,768.12
• Hang Seng Closed Up 0.22% AT 26,446.56
• Ftse is down 0.1% AT 9,273.57
• Euro Stoxx 50 IS Up 0.6% AT 5.423.13
• DJIA CLOSED ON FRIDAY DOWN 0.59% AT 45,834.22
• S&P 500 CLOSED UNCHANGED AT 6,584.29
• NASDAQ composite closed up up 0.44% AT 22,141.10
• S&P/Tsx Composite Closed Down 0.42% AT 29,283.82
• S&P 40 Latin America Closed UnChanged AT 2.857.80
• US 10-YEAR Treasury Rate Is Unchanged AT 4.059%
• E-mini S&P 500 Futures Are UnChanged AT 6,594.50
• E-mini NASDAQ-100 Futures are Unchanged AT 24,098.00
• E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index Are Up 0.22% AT 45,957.00

Bitcoin Stats

• BTC Dominance: 58.11% (0.57%)
• Ether to Bitcoin Ratio: 0.03938 (-1.38%)
• Hashrate (Seven-Day MOVING AVERAGE): 1,025 eh/s
• HashPrice (Spot): $ 53.81
• Total Fees: 3.13 BTC / $ 362,347
• CME FUTures Open Interest: 141,690 BTC
• BTC PRICED IN GOLD: 31.5 OZ
• BTC VS Gold Market Cap: 8.90%

Technical AnalysisDoge has pnetrated the bullish trendline. (TradingView/Coindesk)

• Doge has dropped from 30.7 CENTS TO 26 CENTS, PENETRATING The BULLISH Trendline from Sept. 6 Lows.
• The Breakdown Suggests Renewed Seller Momentum.
• PRICES HAVE ALSO FOUND ACCEPTANCE BELOW the ICHIMOKU CLUD. Crossovers Below The Cloud Are Sayid to Represent A Bearish Shift in Trend.

Crypto equities

• Coinbase Global (Coin): CLOSED ON FRIDAY AT $ 323.04 (-0.28%), -0.34% AT $ 321.95 In Pre-Market
• Circle (CRCl): Closed AT $ 125.32 (-6.27%), +1.81% AT $ 127.59
• Galaxy Digital (GLXY): CLOSED AT $ 29.70 (+2.88%), -0.47% AT $ 29.56
• Bullish (BLSH): CLOSED AT $ 51.84 (-3.98%), +1.72% AT $ 52.73
• Mara Holdings (Mara): CLOSED AT $ 16.31 (+3.82%), -0.67% AT $ 16.20
• Riot Platforms (RIOT): CLOSED AT $ 15.89 (+1.53%), -0.44% AT $ 15.82
• Core Scientific (Corz): CLOSED AT $ 15.86 (+1.99%), -0.38% AT $ 15.80
• Cleanspark (CLSK): CLOSED AT $ 10.35 (+1.47%), Unchanged In Pre-Market
• Coinshares Valkyrie Bitcoin Mines ETF (WGMI): Closed AT $ 37.32 (+4.63%)
• Exodus Movement (Exod): Closed At $ 28.36 (-1.73%), UnChanged In Pre-Market

Crypto Treasury Companies

• Strategy (Mstr): Closed AT $ 331.44 (+1.66%), -0.53% AT $ 329.68
• Semler Scientific (SMLR): CLOSED AT $ 29.19 (+2.28%)
• Sharplink Gaming (SBET): CLOSED AT $ 17.7 (+8.19%), -2.26% AT $ 17.30
• UPEXI (UPXI): CLOSED AT $ 6.76 ( +18.93%), +1.55% AT $ 6.86
• Lite Strategy (Lits): CLOSED AT $ 3.07 (+10.43%)

ETF FlowsSPOT BTC ETFS

• Daily Net Flow: $ 642.4 Million
• Cumulative Net Flows: $ 56.79 Billion
• Total BTC Holdings ~ 1.31 Million

Spot eth etfs

• Daily Net Flow: $ 405.5 Million
• Cumulative Net Flows: $ 13.38 Billion
• Total Eth Holdings ~ 6.48 Million

Source: Farside Investors

While You Were Sleeping

• What’s Next for Bitcoin and Ether as Downside Fears Ease Ahead of Fed Rate Cut? .
• Bank of England’s Proped Stablecoin Ownership Limits Are Unworkable, Say Crypto Groups (Coindesk) While US and EU RULES SET STANDARDS WITHOUT LIMITING HOLDINGS.
• Lse Group Starts Blockchain Platform for Access by Private Funds (Bloomberg): Lseg’s Digital Markets Infrastructure, Built To Boost Efficiency Crypto Exchange Archax Serving the Role of Nominee.
• Trump Administration Claims Vast Powers As It Races to Fire Fed Fed Governor Before Meeting (The New York Times) Governor Lisa Cook Was Both “UnreViewable” and “Reasonable.”
• Boe Expectioned to Leave Key Rate on Hold, But Slow Quantitative Tightling (The Wall Street Journal) Move and Boe Governor Andrew Bailey Warning Inflation Pressures Complicate Policy Choices.

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