Bitcoin Bulls Should Keep An Eye Out for Spike in Key Bond Market Index

Bitcoin Bulls Should Keep An Eye Out for Spike in Key Bond Market IndexThe Move Index, An Indicator of Bond Market Volatility, Has Surged, Signaling Potential Liquidity Tightling. Sep 5, 2025, 6:03 AM

The Bitcoin BTC$ 111.706.99 Bull Run Has Already Stalled with Ongoing Sales from Long-Term Holder Wallets and A Slowdown in etf Inflows. To make matters worse, Another Lesser-Known But Significant Market Variable Appears to be Turning Against Btc Bulls, Signaling New Challenges on the Horizon.

That market variable is the move index, created by Harley Bassman, A Former Managing Director at Merrill Lynch. The Index Calculates Implied Volatility Using A Weighted Average of Option Prices on One-Month Treasury Options Across Multiple Maturities (2, 5, 10, and 30 Years). This Method CAPTures of Collective Expectations of Market Participants About Future Interest Rate Movements.

The Move Index Has Surged from 77 to 89 in Three Days, Marking The Sharpest Rise Since Early April, WHEN President Donald Trump’s Tariffs Shook Global Markets, Including Bitcoin, Wholing Bitcoin,

More Importantly, Momentum Indicators Like The Macd Are Signaling a Clear Bullish Shift, Suggesting The Index Is Poured for Continued Gains. That calls for the caness on the part of Bitcoin Bulls, as Spells of Higher Expectioned Bond Market Volatility, as Captured by the Move Index, Are KNOWN to CAUSE LIQUITY.

US Treasury Notes Are Widly Regarded As High-Quality Liquid Assets and Form a Cornerstone of the Global Collalateral Pool, Helping to Reduce Credit Risk For Lenders and Facilitating Financial Markets.

Thus, height -beaded volatility in treasury notes to disrupt liquidity, Increase Borrowing Costs and Create Ripple Effects Across Credit Markets and the Broader Financial System. In Such Situations, Lenders Demand Higher Risk Premiums, and Market Participants Pull Back From Riskier Assets, Ultimately Slowing The Flow of Flows and Adding Stress to Global Markets.

Furthermore, Heightened Volatility in Treasury Notes of Fethen Prompts Bondholders to Reduce Duration Risk Risk by Shifting from Longer-Dated BONDS Two-year Notes or Treasury Bills.

This “FLIGHT TO QUALITY” FLIGHT TO SAFETY “USUAL ACCCOMPANIES A BROADER Market Sell-Off, As Investors Reduce Exposure to Equities, Corporate Bonds, An Other Ris. Volatility in the Treasury Market.

Hence, It’s No Surprise That Historical Btc’s Price Rallies Have Been Characterized by Deckling Trends in the Move Index and Vice Versa.

To be to the chase, the Latest Bounce in the Move Index Could Exacherbate the BTC Market’s Pain, Potentilly Deeping the Price Pullback.

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