“Sunday June 1, 2025 will be guaranteed to go down in the history of this war. Four Russian military airfields, including those where strategic aviation are based, were affected by the SBU. Security representatives declare 41 damaged aircraft. 9-10 cars were visually confirmed. But whatever it is, the scale of the operation is really striking. However, anxiety is growing at the same time”, – WRITE ON: ua.news
Sunday June 1, 2025 will be guaranteed to go down in the history of this war. The SBU forces were Stuffed There are four Russian military airfields, including those where strategic aviation is based. Security representatives declare 41 damaged aircraft. 9-10 cars were visually confirmed. But whatever it is, the scale of the operation is really striking.
However, at the same time, anxiety for the enemy’s possible response is increasing. After all, the latter will definitely be, because Moscow in the eyes of the whole world “macaped into dirt”. This is not only a national prestige, but also a purely military one: yesterday, under the fire, the forces of the nuclear triad of the Russian Federation were under fire. According to Russia’s military doctrine, such things from the point of view of Russian law can be corresponded to nuclear strikes.
How is Russia capable of responding to the operation of “spider web”? UA.news political observer Nikita Trachuk Together with the experts he dealt with the question.
Strategic Aviation Strategic Aviation: Why it’s not just another element of war
In order to understand the scale of the military catastrophe of the Russian Federation, it should be understood that Ukraine was struck yesterday. Kyiv attacked not just military airfields that have a lot of enemy.
It is about aerodromes where strategic aviation is based on nuclear missiles. It is part of the Russian nuclear triad, its aviation component. And the bombed airfields refer to the nationwide infrastructure of nuclear restraint.
More: damaged and destroyed planes – artificial specimens. This loss is irreparable for the Russian Federation, because such technique was made in the Soviet Union. That is, Moscow no longer has technologies to make new machines, they are not issued by the Russian Air Industry. The more painful is yesterday.
Blakut, Oreshennik or negotiations: what will answer the operation of the Web “Spider web”
The nuclear doctrine of the Russian Federation in this matter is unambiguous: the attack on such objects is absolutely legal in terms of Russian law with the reason to strike a mass of mass damage. However, experts agree that there will be no nuclear response – although its likelihood of “Bilyulyulyova” has increased to “very low”, which in itself is not something good.
Nuclear missiles for Moscow are “weapons of the last chance.” It can be applied if the Kremlin realizes that it loses war, with the threat of Russia itself. By this point, such a disproportionate answer is not impossible – unfortunately – but still remains very unlikely.
However, the enemy has many ways to answer otherwise. For example, apply infamous “ Orechnik ” . For the first time and for the last time the Russian Federation was on the Dnieper in the fall of 2024. Now the risks of a new blow have increased seriously.
We will remind that then Moscow hit its latest development after Ukraine attacked the territory of Russia with US farm missiles. That is, it was presented as a “retribution”. It cannot be excluded that this time the Russian Federation will use the “eagle”. For example, to hit the capital – on the same bridges through the Dnieper or on some important object of energy infrastructure. Moscow will also happen and strike a crowded place to cause the largest number of casualties.
Recall that “Oreshnik”, according to official data, is impossible or at least it is very difficult to knock down. That is why in the coming days (and always always) it is worth listening to air anxiety especially carefully – this was, in particular, President Zelensky said yesterday.
The Oreshennik, at the same time, is estimated by experts, rather than an artificial and experimental model of rockets. Therefore, the mass shelling of Ukraine in combination with drones is no less likely to be more likely. Despite the defeat of a number of strategic aviation aircraft, we must admit that Bombarders are still sufficient to terrorize the Ukrainian territory from the air.
The Russian Federation can try to arrange blackouts again. Moreover, it is easier to do this now: Ukraine is anomalous, which in itself overloads energy infrastructure. However, traditionally in the summer, nuclear power units are sent to repair, which increases the deficit on the power grid.
Therefore, it is likely that Moscow will try to “disconnect” the country from light for a while. To do this, the enemy can use a large number of ballistic and winged missiles, which recently is almost not used – there is a clear accumulation of ammunition.
In parallel with this, the Russian Federation can send three to four, or even more, hundreds of drones. Unfortunately, the air defense is unlikely to cope with so many simultaneous air purposes.
Another possible scenario is the sharp escalation of relations between Russia and the West. It is alarming that the Kremlin still has no official reaction to yesterday’s attacks. This can indicate both the preparation of the impact in response and the fact that the final decision on how to respond has not yet been made. It is likely that one of the options is to blame the event (such as Britain or even the US) of the Ukrainian Operation.
From this organically flows and the termination of peace talks. It should be noted that on Monday, June 2, the second round of Russian-Ukrainian negotiations takes place in Turkish Istanbul. Both delegations arrived in Turkey and intend to talk about something. However, how successful the communication after such an attack will be a rhetorical question. These negotiations did not have high hopes, and now the risks of the Russian Federation from the peace process have increased.
Expert opinions
Military Expert, Israeli Defense Army Officer in the Reserve Igal Levin He appreciates yesterday’s attack of Ukraine on Russian airfields. At the same time, he urges to prepare for terror in response.
“That’s what you need to be prepared and what to expect – terrorism. Since the Russian Federation uses all possible and affordable means against Ukraine (and they will not use nuclear weapons), the only thing that remains in them is terrorism. Purposeful strikes in civilian population are not only as part of their overall pressure strategy on Ukrainian society, but also banal from powerlessness and the realization that there is nothing left to do. And also before the promotion of the information campaign – every time the Ukrainians go out, the Russians try to negate it and devalue it. And here the event is not just successful, but stunning – an extraordinary level , literally historical. Their agent, bots and cohorts of influenters will climb from the skin to translate it all into grayness and secondary – confident Igal Levin.
Military expert Oleg Zhdanov It believes that the Russian Federation will try to answer all its capabilities. But it seems that it is especially possible to answer her.
The deer airfield was an airfield where strategic aviation flew to strike on us. And now it is necessary to carry out an audit, to look for capable planes, to prepare them, to equip them and to focus on new airfields. With balistics I also see that there are problems … There are no crazy number of missiles. And the problem is not so much with rockets, but with starting installations. We constantly count rockets, but we forget that each starting unit has a starting limit, after which it needs to be repaired. It is not rubber and is designed for a certain number of launches.
I think the Russian Federation takes time to answer. Maybe even a few weeks. Understanding what happened, carry out an inventory – what can be saved after this blow. After all, most affected aircraft are not produced in the Russian Federation: no technologies, production chains. They can only be repaired. And you just imagine what a volume of robots after yesterday’s beats ”, – says Zhdanov.
The expert does not believe in the stroke of “Oreshnik”. He believes that it is rather “populist history” and experimental weapons not for wide use.
“Russia is scared of us and the whole world that it (” Oreshnik ” – Ed.) Allegedly accepted. But this does not mean that it has fully passed the test and meets the standards. I think if the Oreshnik was capable and would be an appropriate number of missiles, then we would have repeatedly “caught” it in the territory of Ukraine. And in fact, the Oreshennik is a very limited system. He has a minimum range – 2000 km. From some Arkhangelsk he can fly on us. But when Lukashenko is threatening them, it’s just funny. In general, this rocket is purely for a nuclear charge. If you just throw a “bolvanka”, counting on kinetic stroke – it’s just spending it in vain “, – says Zhdanov.
Our interlocutor does not believe in a nuclear blow to Ukraine. He believes that this is a threat, not a plan of real action.
“If Russia applies even tactical nuclear weapons, it will cease to be a factor of restraint. If Moscow tries to do it, they will not survive the point themselves. They will crush the same Trump and these Jinping, ” Oleg Zhdanov summarized.
In general, one thing is obvious: the answer from Moscow will definitely be. After all, Russia was not only purely military damages yesterday. It was also a heavy reputation, literally “clicking on the nose” of the FSB, play and all other Russian special services and agencies. They missed such a large -scale and powerful attack that the repayment is now existential.
The whole world has seen the copied drones are carrying strategic aviation aircraft worth hundreds of millions of dollars. Everyone saw how vulnerable of the Russian Federation and that with relative ease can be disabled part of the forces of the nuclear triad. This is a real shame. Russia’s international authority – if it existed at all – yesterday he swayed.
And now Moscow must pay. They will also suffer from this, as always, ordinary Ukrainians, which once again raises the question of the need to closely monitor the alarm and movement of hostile rockets and drones.
In general, it should not be forgotten that the war in Ukraine is primarily land and front. The partial destruction of the enemy air park, although it is definitely good news, will not affect its permanent offensive in all directions, where only it is able to move forward. The only way is to stop this – peace talks and the end of the war with a diplomatic way. But after all the recent events, hope for such a scenario is even more pointless than before.