“The World Bank has updated the world economy forecast, in particular, Ukraine. According to the document, the full -scale invasion of the Russian Federation will last until the end of 2025. This is evidenced by the World Bank’s report for June 2025. The discussion of the potential ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine began at the beginning of the year, but the prospects for long -term settlement remain uncertain, analysts said. It is predicted that the growth of economy”, – WRITE ON: ua.news
The World Bank has updated the world economy forecast, in particular, Ukraine. According to the document, the full -scale invasion of the Russian Federation will last until the end of 2025.
This is evidenced by the World Bank’s report for June 2025.
The discussion of the potential ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine began at the beginning of the year, but the prospects for long -term settlement remain uncertain, analysts said.
It is expected that the growth of Ukraine’s economy will increase from 2.0% in 2025 to 5.2% in 2026. The acceleration of growth takes into account the expectations of the World Bank that the Russian invasion “will last until the end of 2025, after which active fighting will fall.”
In 20126, a generous growth involves a surge in investment in production and reconstruction, while export restoration will remain limited due to a complex trade environment and economic uncertainty. Reconstruction and recovery costs are estimated at $ 524 billion, almost three times more than Ukraine’s GDP in 2024
At the same time, without a strong peace agreement, the continuation or strengthening of the invasion can further weaken the economy of Ukraine and maintain high geopolitical tension, experts say.
Violation of funding flows into Ukraine will increase these risks, as the country’s external funding is still highly dependent on the constant support from the EU and the US, the forecast.
The support of Europe and the US plays a key role for Ukraine, so the World Bank evaluates EU support much higher.
The World Bank also reduced its forecast of world growth by 2025 by 0.4 pp. Up to 2.3%, saying that higher tariffs and uncertainty increases have become a “significant restraining factor” for almost all economies.
We will remind, from the beginning of a full -scale invasion, Ukraine has received through the targeted support fund, restoration, restoration and reform of Ukraine (URTF) of the World Bank $ 1.2 billion of grant assistance.
Ukraine will also receive an additional $ 84 million funding from the World Bank by a housing recovery project that has been agreed as a result of Russian military aggression.
