“The new figures of sociological polls, which show a drop in the level of trust in the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyi, are quite relevant and relatively conservative. However, they still need to be dealt with. This was stated by political scientist, director of the Ukrainian Institute of Politics Ruslan Bortnik in a comment to UA.News. In this way, he commented on a new study by KMIS, which records a serious decline in the popularity of the head of state.”, — write on: ua.news
The new figures of sociological polls, which show a drop in the level of trust in the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyi, are quite relevant and relatively conservative. However, they still need to be dealt with.
This was stated by political scientist, director of the Ukrainian Institute of Politics Ruslan Bortnik in a comment to UA.News. In this way, he commented on a new study by KMIS, which records a serious decline in the popularity of the head of state.
“I consider the KMIS figures to be quite relevant and relatively calm. Other polls show other indicators, even slightly worse for the president. In addition, it must be understood that we are talking about the current head of state, the current commander-in-chief, who has a significant reserve of support only at the expense of his chair, that is, at the expense of the support of the position. In general, the level of support for Zelenskyi still needs to be understood: how much support is directly from Volodymyr Oleksandrovich Zelenskyi, how much support is from the President of Ukraine, and how much support is from the Supreme Commander-in-Chief. These three components make up the trust rating of 52%,” says Bortnik.
The expert emphasizes that the level of trust is not the same as the level of readiness to vote. That is, trust in a politician or public figure does not automatically translate into a willingness to vote for him.
“Because people can trust many personalities at the same time. They can trust Zelensky, Zaluzhny, Budanov, and many others at the same time. Therefore, the level of electoral support, willingness to vote for the Ukrainian president, is still lower,” Bortnik notes.
The political scientist also explained what the level of support actually consists of. There are several levels here.
“The first component is that the Ukrainian state is still not deeply structured and efficient from the point of view of bureaucracy. The state is largely built on the support of the people, on the representativeness of society. If you lose ratings, you may have insane powers, but in reality you lose the ability to rule the country because your orders are not followed or sabotaged. At one time, Poroshenko experienced such a stage. Being the plenipotentiary president, he could no longer manage the system, despite the fact that he was sitting on Bankova,” Bortnik recalls.
The expert says that in Ukraine the system works fully only as long as its leader is popular. If he loses popularity, the countdown to the loss of power starts.
“The second component is that given the fact that presidential elections may still be held this year, or they may be held in the following years, the high and growing level of mistrust significantly increases the threat for Volodymyr Zelenskyi to lose the elections in the second round. Because the electoral rating of Zelensky today, most likely, is already less than 50%. Not trust, but electoral support. It is important who is against you and your anti-ratings are important. Because in our electoral system, the second round is a “battle with the shadow”, a fight against one’s own anti-ratings. And if Zelenskyi’s anti-ratings increase to 50 in the future% and more, he may lose in the second round,” Ruslan Bortnik summarized.
Earlier, we talked about the drop in the level of trust in the president and the opinions of political scientists on this matter.
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