“Ella Libanova, director of the Institute of Demography and Social Research named after Mykhailo Ptukh of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, expressed the opinion that after the end of the war in Ukraine, there will probably not be a large increase in the birth rate and we should not expect a “baby boom” like after the Second World War. The demographer stated this in an interview with RBC-Ukraine. Libanova explained that the requirements for comfort and standard of living”, — write on: ua.news
Ella Libanova, director of the Institute of Demography and Social Research named after Mykhailo Ptukh of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, expressed the opinion that after the end of the war in Ukraine, there will probably not be a large increase in the birth rate and we should not expect a “baby boom” like after the Second World War.
The demographer stated this in an interview with RBC-Ukraine.
Libanova explained that the requirements for comfort and standard of living of modern families are much higher than in the post-war period, when it was economically profitable to have many children, and their upbringing and needs were simpler.
According to Ella Libanova, in 2021 in Ukraine, there were an average of 2.1 children per woman. However, during a full-scale war, according to the Institute of Demography, this share is about 0.7. “After the war, this indicator may eventually increase to 1.6, but not more,” the expert added. It takes 2.15 for the next generation to replace the parent generation.
Another factor affecting birth rates is the better methods of contraception that are now available, so it’s mostly those who want to give birth.
Libanova noted that there is no indicator of 2 in Europe, as well as in many Asian countries, for example, in South Korea, where the standard of living is not bad, this indicator is also 0.7. The expert doubts that there will be a baby boom in Ukraine after the war, referring to the example of her grandmother, who after the evacuation in 1944 lived with two children in a stately, destroyed house, which “is not considered the norm today.”
Between 28 and 30 million people currently live in Ukraine, and the discrepancy in numbers is explained by different methods of counting. Ella Libanova, director of the Institute of Demography and Research named after Mykhailo Ptukh, voiced this estimate of the population.
Meanwhile, in Transcarpathia, the number of ethnic Hungarians has halved in three years of full-scale war. Before the war, there were 150,000 of them.
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