“The National Bank of Ukraine predicts that this year the pure outflow of population abroad will be about 200 thousand people. This is stated in the updated NBU inflation report. In 2026, according to the regulator, the rate of departure of Ukrainians will remain at about the same level. Instead, the return trend, according to the National Bank, will only start forming from 2027 – is expected to return approximately”, – WRITE ON: ua.news
The National Bank of Ukraine predicts that this year the pure outflow of population abroad will be about 200 thousand people.
This is stated in the updated NBU inflation report.
In 2026, according to the regulator, the rate of departure of Ukrainians will remain at about the same level.
Instead, the trend of return, according to the National Bank, will only start forming from 2027 – approximately 100,000 people are expected to return. This is much less than the previous forecast, which was about 500,000 Ukrainians.
The main factors of emigration are the constant threat of shelling by Russia, terrorist attacks on the civilian population and, as a whole, high danger throughout Ukraine. The growth of citizens’ adaptation to life is also affected.
In addition, the prolongation of the term of legal stay of Ukrainians in EU countries or obtaining long -term residence permits reduces the likelihood of a mass return in the near future.
After several years of staying in Sweden, more than 10,000 Ukrainian refugees signed a petition noting to return home. They also demand facilitating access to Sweden for their relatives – among other things.
In the United Kingdom, Ukrainians have already begun to refuse to extend the rent contracts as the visa update process is ongoing. Some of this reason reported that they would not be able to work.
