“ISW showed a schedule of strengthening of the Russian Federation in almost 100 days Trump and suggested that Moscow would break the agreement to invade Ukraine again on April 25, 09:54 to share: the place of rocket strike of the Russian Federation in the Svyatoshinsky district testified that the Russians probably adapted their long -range blows in Ukraine so that they would still be inflicted”, – WRITE ON: ua.news
The place of rocket strike of the Russian Federation in the Svyatoshinsky district of Kiev, where 12 people were killed on April 24, 2025 (photo: Reuters/Valentyn Ogirenko)
A massive blow to Kiev on April 24 showed that the Russians probably adapted their long -range blows in Ukraine so that they would cause even more harm even in spite of the Ukrainian air defense. Meanwhile, the new statements of Sergiy Shoig and Dmitry Peskov have confirmed that Russia is preparing to violate any peace agreement in the future and attack Ukraine again from more favorable positions.
This is stated in the new report by the Institute of War Study.
As ISW analysts emphasize as a result of a massive blow to Ukraine and especially in Kiev on April 24, In recent weeks, Russian troops have probably adapted tactics and weapons for long -range blows across UkraineTo weaken Ukrainian air defense and cause more harm – even when the Ukrainian forces are able to intercept some Russian drones and missiles. Such adaptations have “disproportionately [значний] Impact on the civilian population ”, repeats isw its assessment, which has already been emphasized earlier.
The experts of the Institute of War Study also recalled Donald Trump to Vladimir Putin, calling for a cease to end the war and gave graphics that demonstrates the scale of Russian rocket-arable blows after Trump’s inauguration on January 20. Although ISW analysts did not further comment on this graphics, they marked all the most important contacts of the Trump administration with the Russians in trying to achieve “peace agreement ”with the Russian Federation. As can be seen on the graphics, in general nearly 100 days after Trump’s inauguration (This term expires on April 30 – note. Ed.) Russia has not reduced, but rather increased the intensity of strokes in Ukraine compared to the beginning of January 2025.
ISW analysts also reminded that the Kremlin’s official spokesman Dmitry Peskov and Secretary of the Security Council They repeated a number of ancient requirements of Russia, which interfere with a stable and strong peace in Ukraine and are actually preparing the basis for future Russian aggression from more favorable positions. Peskov said in an interview with a French magazine Le point, that Russia’s military goals have not changed since the beginning of its full -scale invasion of Ukraine and that Russia will reach these goals “peaceful or military. ” The Kremlin speaker claimed that Russia would restore war if “People … will call into question the legitimacy of the President of Ukraine Vladimir Zelensky, and also stated that Russia “does not trust” the Ukrainian authorities. In his turn, the Secretary of the Security Council of Russia Sergei Shoigu in an interview with the Kremlin agency TASS stated that the Kremlin “Ready to cease fire, truce and peace talks ”, but only if these measures will take into account the interests of Russia and eliminate “The root causes of war. This show shoig meets the constant requirements of the Kremlin officials that these “The first causes “are allegedly violation of NATO” obligations “not to expand to the East and alleged discrimination of ethnic Russians against the Russian language, media and culture in Ukraine.
Peskov defined the immutable military goals of Russia as the requirements of Vladimir Putin for changes in power in Ukraine, demilitarization of the Ukrainian army, neutrality of Ukraine and transfer of Russia to all illegally “Annexeds ”by Russia in Lugansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhya and Kherson regions. According to ISW experts, Trump’s recent proposal to end the war from seven points does not meet all Putin’s requirements. At the same time, Peskov and Shoig’s statements are put forward by such requirements for a complete ceasefire that will contribute to Putin’s purpose to weaken the Ukrainian army – probably to prepare for the future Russian aggression, the ISW said. Among these prerequisites are the stopping of weapons to Ukraine even from European countries, as well as voiced by the Peskov and Shoga Direct rejection of the idea of the United States about the US about “Reliable security guarantees ”for Ukraine that would provide a group of European states and possibly non -European states.
Meanwhile Peskov’s false accusations of allegedly “The illegitimacy of Zelensky and the “insolvency” of the Ukrainian government to control the Armed Forces of Ukraine directly reflect the similar ancient narratives of Putin. These Kremlin Narratives are part of the effort to make Russia call any future a peaceful settlement that Moscow will sign with Zelensky and then break this “agreement” and restore its invasion (Peskov actually stated that Russia will be ready to do it, treat his words ISW analysts).