“This week, Ukraine’s foreign exchange market will remain stable, without sharp fluctuations or significant changes in the ratio of courses. The Head of the Treasury Department of one of the Ukrainian banks Taras Lesovy spoke about expectations in the foreign exchange market of Ukraine in mid -August in the commentary of the Invest News. In the coming days, the currency market will maintain a stability characteristic of the current macro -financial situation. The dollar exchange rate”, – WRITE ON: ua.news
This week, Ukraine’s foreign exchange market will remain stable, without sharp fluctuations or significant changes in the ratio of courses.
The head of the Treasury Department of one of the Ukrainian banks Taras Lesovy told about expectations in the foreign exchange market of Ukraine in mid -August in the midst Invest News.
In the coming days, the currency market will maintain a stability characteristic of the current macro -financial situation. The dollar exchange rate will continue to be formed within the regime of “managed flexibility” and will remain close to the current marks-in the range of 41.65-42 UAH/USD. The fluctuations in the course are expected to be minimal, with a slight inter -course difference between buying and selling. Also, a significant break between cash and non -cash segments of the market is not projected.
One of the factors that maintain stability is the seasonal currency offer from agrarian business. During the agricultural company harvest, they more actively convert currency revenue to cover operating costs, including fuel purchases. Under these conditions, the market can demonstrate the ability to self -regulation, and the role of the National Bank as a source of interventions for equilibrium between supply and demand is partially decreasing. At the same time, if necessary, the NBU is ready to respond promptly to maintain the balance between supply and demand.
As for the euro, the exchange rate of this currency will remain more sensitive to external factors. It will be determined by the euro/dollar ratio on the global market and the hryvnia/dollar. As in the previous months, the importance of the euro will depend on geopolitical trends, decisions in the field of international trade and the general mood of world investors. That is why the fluctuations in the euro can be more noticeable than the dollar.
Despite some dynamics, fundamental grounds for sharp changes in the course levels are not expected. The approximate ratio of the euro to the dollar will remain in the range of 1.15–1.20, which causes the euro in Ukraine at close to current levels.
The main expression of the currency market from 11 to 17 August:
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Currency changes corridors: 41.6-42 UAH / $ and 48-49 UAH / € (on the interbank) and 41.65-42.2 UAH / $ and 48-49,5 UAH / € (in the cash market).
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Daily course changes: to 0.05-0.15 UAH (interbank), to 0.1-0.2 UAH (Kombank), to 0.3 UAH (exchange offices).
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The difference between buying and selling courses: up to 0.15 UAH for $ 1, up to 0.2 UAH per € 1 (interbank), up to 0.5-0.6 UAH per $ 1, up to 0.8-1 UAH per € 1 (Kombank), up to 0.6-1 UAH per $ 1, up to 1-1.3 UAH per € 1 (exchange offices).
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Difference of buying on cash market: 0.2-0.3 UAH for $ 1, 0.3-0.5 per € 1 (Kombank), 0.3-0.5 UAH for $ 1, 0.5-0.7 for € 1 (exchange offices).
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Difference of sales on cash market: 0.1-0.2 UAH for $ 1, 0.2-0.3 UAH per € 1 (Kombank), 0.3-0.5 UAH for $ 1, up to 0.5 UAH for € 1 (exchange offices).
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Depending on the currency, the average difference between interbank and cash market rates – 0,1-0,15 UAH.
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Average weekly course deviations – to 1-1.5% from the initial course of the week.
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It should be reminded that the dollar exchange rate in Ukraine’s exchange offices remains at the previous level, and the only European currency has risen a little.
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After a gradual decline in early 2025, the cash dollar in Ukraine went up again in July.
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Also the NBU plans Change the rules of transfer of funds without opening accounts.
