“I would go, but Putin won’t let me go.” In what situation did Lukashenko find himself on the eve of the so-called elections in Belarus – an interview with Vyachorka

— A very interesting detail about Lukashenka appeared in an interview with President Volodymyr Zelenskyi: a few days after the invasion, he spoke to the usurper by phone and he apologized. Among what Lukashenko said, according to Zelensky: “Believe me, Volodya, it’s not me, I don’t control it, it’s just missiles, it’s Putin.” Moreover, he proposed to strike at the refinery in Mozyr. “You know,” said Lukashenka’s quote, “how much he means to me.” What conclusions did you draw?

— I think it is best for psychiatrists to evaluate Lukashenka. This story shows how schizophrenic, what mess Lukashenka has in his head.

He really does not control either Russian weapons or the Russian presence in Belarus, and it is true that he serves [російському диктатору Володимиру] to Putin Everything that happens is done solely by the will of the Kremlin. And Lukashenko has the role of Putin’s puppet.

Regarding proposals to hit the refinery. This simply shows how much Belarusians and Belarus are not important to Lukashenka. He suggests that the leader of a neighboring state strike on his territory, perhaps to justify an attack from Belarus. I will not undertake to explain Lukashenka’s logic – I have already lost hope of understanding what is in his mind. But I think this is a lesson for everyone who thought that it was possible to negotiate something with him and do business. I hope there won’t be such fools in the future.

— Lukashenka’s press secretary Natalya Eismont denied everything. She confirmed that there was a conversation, Lukashenko called Zelenskyi, but she denied the apology, because there is nothing to apologize for.

– This is not new, they will say that nothing like this happened. I think this is primarily a signal for the Kremlin, for Russia, saying: “No, Volodymyr Volodymyrovych, don’t think about it, Zelensky and I didn’t talk about anything like that. We firmly believed in this “holy war” and the attack on Ukraine.”

And that Lukashenka’s propaganda, officials lying, is not new either. They sometimes insert two or three contradictory sentences in the same speech of Lukashenka, which are completely unrelated to each other, hoping that the audience will hide it and not notice it.

— The analytics published at the end of 2024 or the beginning of 2025, particularly in the Western media, predicted what could happen in 2025. Some call it “black swans”, others more and less likely scenarios. But there are supposedly chances that in 2025 the regime of Lukashenka — the self-proclaimed president who lost the 2020 elections, declared himself the winner, and still remains in office at the expense of the repressive apparatus — may be overthrown. How likely is that to happen? And what conditions should be there for this?